Prediction: Macae Esporte FC vs Niteroiense
Team pages: Niteroiense
| Macae Esporte FC | Draw | Niteroiense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 29% | 54% |
| Market | 19% | 25% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Niteroiense (rating 1479 vs 1521).
- Cards-heavy: 12.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Macae Esporte FC | Niteroiense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4 | 2.6 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.9 / 0.1 | 5.7 / 0.3 |
Standings · Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goytacaz | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Serrano | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Duque de Caxias FC | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Niteroiense | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Petropolis | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | Artsul Futebol Clube | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | Campo Grande AC | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 12 |
| 8 | Macae Esporte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 9 | Sao Cristovao RJ | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 |
| 10 | Nova Cidade | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 6 |
| 11 | Audax Rio | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
| 12 | Carapebus/Campos | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 5 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Macae Esporte FC | Niteroiense |
|---|---|---|
| Sao Cristovao RJ | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Duque de Caxias FC | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Nova Cidade | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Petropolis | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Serrano | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Carapebus/Campos | 4-3 W | 3-1 W |
| Artsul Futebol Clube | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Campo Grande AC | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Audax Rio | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Goytacaz | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 5 L | 6 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Niteroiense (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Macae Esporte FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Sao Cristovao RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 24/10 | Duque de Caxias FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 21/10 | Nova Cidade Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/10 | Petropolis Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 10/10 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 03/10 | Carapebus/Campos Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
2-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 12 | W |
| 26/09 | Artsul Futebol Clube Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 19/09 | Campo Grande AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 12/09 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Goytacaz Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
Niteroiense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Artsul Futebol Clube Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 12 | L |
| 24/10 | Campo Grande AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 21/10 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 17/10 | Goytacaz Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/10 | Carapebus/Campos Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Sao Cristovao RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 26/09 | Duque de Caxias FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Nova Cidade Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 12/09 | Petropolis Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Macae Esporte FC vs Niteroiense?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Niteroiense win (55%). Probabilities: Macae Esporte FC 18%, draw 27%, Niteroiense 55%.
How many goals are expected in Macae Esporte FC vs Niteroiense?
The model expects 2.23 goals (Macae Esporte FC 0.73 · Niteroiense 1.49), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Macae Esporte FC vs Niteroiense?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.