Prediction: Nova Cidade vs Petropolis
Team pages: Nova Cidade · Petropolis
- Nova Cidade0-1Petropolis
- Nova Cidade1-2Petropolis
- Petropolis1-0Nova Cidade
| Nova Cidade | Draw | Petropolis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 32% | 42% |
| Market | 27% | 29% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Petropolis (rating 1463 vs 1522).
- H2H favours Petropolis: 3-0-0.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nova Cidade | Petropolis | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.4 | 1.6 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.2 | 5.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nova Cidade 0–0–3 Petropolis
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/25 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Nova Cidade | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Petropolis |
| 14/10/20 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Nova Cidade | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Petropolis |
| 22/06/19 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Petropolis | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Nova Cidade |
Standings · Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duque de Caxias FC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Niteroiense | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Serrano | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Goytacaz | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 | Petropolis | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Artsul Futebol Clube | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
| 7 | Campo Grande AC | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Macae Esporte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | Sao Cristovao RJ | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 10 | Nova Cidade | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 6 |
| 11 | Audax Rio | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 5 |
| 12 | Carapebus/Campos | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nova Cidade | Petropolis |
|---|---|---|
| Serrano | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Macae Esporte FC | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Artsul Futebol Clube | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Campo Grande AC | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Audax Rio | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Goytacaz | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Niteroiense | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Sao Cristovao RJ | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 4 L | 3 W 5 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Petropolis (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nova Cidade
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 21/10 | Macae Esporte FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/10 | Artsul Futebol Clube Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Campo Grande AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | Goytacaz Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Niteroiense Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 12/09 | Sao Cristovao RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 9 | D |
| 05/09 | Duque de Caxias FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 08/11 | Friburguense Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Petropolis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Carapebus/Campos Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 20/10 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 17/10 | Macae Esporte FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 09/10 | Artsul Futebol Clube Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 03/10 | Campo Grande AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 26/09 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Goytacaz Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Niteroiense Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | Sao Cristovao RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 08/11 | Campo Grande AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nova Cidade vs Petropolis?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Petropolis win (43%). Probabilities: Nova Cidade 26%, draw 31%, Petropolis 43%.
How many goals are expected in Nova Cidade vs Petropolis?
The model expects 2.06 goals (Nova Cidade 0.87 · Petropolis 1.19), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Nova Cidade vs Petropolis?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.