Prediction: Campo Grande AC vs Niteroiense

Team pages: Campo Grande AC · Niteroiense

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.1Total
Campo Grande AC0.87
Niteroiense1.23
1X2
26% 30% 44%
Campo Grande AC Draw Niteroiense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Campo Grande AC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LWWLWDDLLD
Niteroiense 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
DWWDWWWWLW
Head-to-head
Campo Grande AC 0–1–1 Niteroiense (2 last)
  • Campo Grande AC1-1Niteroiense
  • Niteroiense1-0Campo Grande AC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Campo Grande AC 1481 · Niteroiense 1569
Campo Grande ACDrawNiteroiense
Our model25%32%43%
Market26%29%45%
Estimated total (ours) 2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Niteroiense (rating 1481 vs 1569).
  • Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Campo Grande ACNiteroiense
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.21.7 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.20.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.12 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.3 / 0.45.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Campo Grande AC 0–1–1 Niteroiense

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
24/10/25
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
Campo Grande AC1-1
HT 1-0
Niteroiense
29/09/24
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B2
Niteroiense1-0
HT 1-0
Campo Grande AC

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Carioca B

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Niteroiense 8611 12519
2 Duque de Caxias FC 8602 15618
3 Goytacaz 8521 10517
4 Serrano 8431 11715
5 Petropolis 8350 9514
6 Macae Esporte FC 8314 9910
7 Artsul Futebol Clube 8242 111010
8 Campo Grande AC 8233 6119
9 Sao Cristovao RJ 8143 467
10 Nova Cidade 8134 8116
11 Audax Rio 8116 4114
12 Carapebus/Campos 8017 5181

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCampo Grande ACNiteroiense
Sao Cristovao RJ 0-0 D 1-0 W
Duque de Caxias FC 0-3 L 2-0 W
Nova Cidade 0-3 L 1-0 W
Petropolis 0-0 D 1-1 D
Serrano 1-1 D 2-0 W
Carapebus/Campos 1-0 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 2 L 5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Niteroiense (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Campo Grande AC

LWWLWDDLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/10 Sao Cristovao RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 0-0 34 D
17/10 Duque de Caxias FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 0-3 39 L
10/10 Nova Cidade
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 0-3 55 L
03/10 Petropolis
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 0-0 56 D
26/09 Serrano
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 1-1 –– D
19/09 Macae Esporte FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-1 2-1 88 W
12/09 Artsul Futebol Clube
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
2-0 2-3 –– L
05/09 Carapebus/Campos
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-0 1-0 59 W
08/11 Petropolis
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 1-0 –– W
05/11 Nova Cidade
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-1 0-1 76 L

Niteroiense

DWWDWWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/10 Audax Rio
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-0 2-1 510 W
17/10 Goytacaz
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-1 0-2 –– L
10/10 Carapebus/Campos
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
2-0 3-1 34 W
03/10 Sao Cristovao RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 1-0 100 W
26/09 Duque de Caxias FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
2-0 2-0 55 W
19/09 Nova Cidade
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 1-0 28 W
12/09 Petropolis
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 1-1 07 D
05/09 Serrano
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-0 2-0 44 W
08/11 Paduano EC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
1-1 5-1 37 W
05/11 Duque de Caxias FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
0-0 0-0 107 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Campo Grande AC vs Niteroiense?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Niteroiense win (44%). Probabilities: Campo Grande AC 26%, draw 30%, Niteroiense 44%.

How many goals are expected in Campo Grande AC vs Niteroiense?

The model expects 2.1 goals (Campo Grande AC 0.87 · Niteroiense 1.23), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Campo Grande AC vs Niteroiense?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.