Prediction: Petropolis vs Carapebus/Campos
Team pages: Petropolis · Carapebus/Campos
- Petropolis3-0Carapebus/Campos
- Petropolis1-2Carapebus/Campos
| Petropolis | Draw | Carapebus/Campos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 21% | 8% |
| Market | 72% | 19% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Petropolis (rating 1535 vs 1400).
- Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Petropolis | Carapebus/Campos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.7 | 1.6 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.1 | 6.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Petropolis 1–0–1 Carapebus/Campos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/25 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Petropolis | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Carapebus/Campos |
| 21/07/18 Brazil Campeonato Carioca B | Petropolis | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Carapebus/Campos |
Standings · Brazil Campeonato Carioca B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niteroiense | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 19 |
| 2 | Duque de Caxias FC | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Goytacaz | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Serrano | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Petropolis | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Macae Esporte FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 7 | Artsul Futebol Clube | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 10 |
| 8 | Campo Grande AC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 9 |
| 9 | Sao Cristovao RJ | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Nova Cidade | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
| 11 | Audax Rio | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 4 |
| 12 | Carapebus/Campos | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Petropolis | Carapebus/Campos |
|---|---|---|
| Serrano | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Macae Esporte FC | 1-0 W | 3-4 L |
| Artsul Futebol Clube | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Campo Grande AC | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Goytacaz | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Niteroiense | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Sao Cristovao RJ | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 5 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Petropolis (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petropolis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 17/10 | Macae Esporte FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 09/10 | Artsul Futebol Clube Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 03/10 | Campo Grande AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 26/09 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Goytacaz Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Niteroiense Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | Sao Cristovao RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 08/11 | Campo Grande AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/11 | Artsul Futebol Clube Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Carapebus/Campos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Goytacaz Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 17/10 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 10/10 | Niteroiense Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | Macae Esporte FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 12 | L |
| 25/09 | Sao Cristovao RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 19/09 | Artsul Futebol Clube Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 11/09 | Duque de Caxias FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Campo Grande AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 08/11 | Duque de Caxias FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/11 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petropolis vs Carapebus/Campos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Petropolis win (71%). Probabilities: Petropolis 71%, draw 20%, Carapebus/Campos 9%.
How many goals are expected in Petropolis vs Carapebus/Campos?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Petropolis 1.93 · Carapebus/Campos 0.52), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Petropolis vs Carapebus/Campos?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.