Prediction: GD Lagoa vs Juventude Desportiva Lajense

Team pages: GD Lagoa · Juventude Desportiva Lajense

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
GD Lagoa1.62
Juventude Desportiva Lajense1.04
1X2
50% 27% 23%
GD Lagoa Draw Juventude Desportiva Lajense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
GD Lagoa 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LDWWLDLWDD
Juventude Desportiva Lajense 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DWLWWLDLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GD Lagoa 1499 · Juventude Desportiva Lajense 1485
GD LagoaDrawJuventude Desportiva Lajense
Our model50%27%23%
Market50%27%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GD LagoaJuventude Desportiva Lajense
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.91.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.30.5 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/75/0%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.61.5 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.45.4 / 0.4

Standings · Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Campeonato de Portugal 26/27, Group D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 SU Sintrense 5311 11510
2 Real Sport Clube Queluz 6240 13910
3 Imortal DC 5311 10310
4 Serpa 5230 849
5 Amora 5221 648
6 Juventude de Evora 6222 10118
7 GD Lagoa 5131 446
8 Santa Clara B 5122 675
9 GD Portel 6051 7105
10 Alcochetense 5122 785
11 Vitoria Setubal 5122 7105
12 SU 1 Dezembro 4121 375
13 Juventude Desportiva Lajense 5113 784
14 SC Mineiro Aljustrelense 5023 2112

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GD Lagoa

LDWWLDLWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Amora
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-1 1-1 54 D
13/09 Serpa
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-0 36 D
06/09 Santa Clara Azores B
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 2-1 25 W
23/08 Imortal DC
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
– 0-1 95 L
16/08 SC Mineiro Aljustrelense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
– 1-1 –– D
18/04 Alcochetense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-1 1-2 49 L
12/04 Portimonense B
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 3-1 20 W
04/04 Clube Oriental Lisboa
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 2-0 33 W
22/03 AT Malveira
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-0 510 D
15/03 Alverca B
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 1-2 84 L

Juventude Desportiva Lajense

DWLWWLDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 SU 1 Dezembro
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-1 0-1 810 L
04/10 Juventude de Evora
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 2-0 06 W
27/09 Amora
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-1 0-1 34 L
13/09 Real Sport Clube Queluz
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-4 5-5 22 D
06/09 Vitoria Setubal
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-0 0-1 110 L
18/04 CF Os Marialvas
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-0 1-0 13 W
12/04 AC Marinhense
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-3 5-4 64 W
04/04 Naval 1893
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-1 1-2 22 L
22/03 Lusitania
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
1-1 3-1 49 W
15/03 Mortagua FC
Portugal Campeonato Nacional
0-1 1-1 58 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GD Lagoa vs Juventude Desportiva Lajense?

According to our model, the most likely result is a GD Lagoa win (50%). Probabilities: GD Lagoa 50%, draw 27%, Juventude Desportiva Lajense 23%.

How many goals are expected in GD Lagoa vs Juventude Desportiva Lajense?

The model expects 2.66 goals (GD Lagoa 1.62 · Juventude Desportiva Lajense 1.04), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in GD Lagoa vs Juventude Desportiva Lajense?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.