Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 25/10, 02:30
Prediction: Rosario Central vs Huracan
Team pages: Rosario Central · Huracan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
Rosario Central1.67
Huracan0.72
1X2
Rosario Central
Draw
Huracan
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Rosario Central
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Huracan
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rosario Central
2–4
Huracan
(6 last)
- Huracan3-1Rosario Central
- Rosario Central0-1Huracan
- Rosario Central0-1Huracan
- Huracan2-0Rosario Central
- Rosario Central1-0Huracan
- Huracan0-2Rosario Central
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rosario Central 1563 · Huracan 1514
| Rosario Central | Draw | Huracan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 26% | 15% |
| Market | 59% | 27% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rosario Central (rating 1563 vs 1514).
- H2H favours Huracan: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rosario Central | Huracan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.9 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.9 | 1.5 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rosario Central 2–0–4 Huracan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Huracan | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Rosario Central |
| 19/05/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Rosario Central | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Huracan |
| 28/07/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Rosario Central | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Huracan |
| 01/03/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Huracan | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Rosario Central |
| 07/10/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Rosario Central | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Huracan |
| 21/03/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Huracan | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Rosario Central |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
| 4 | Gimnasia LP | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 22 |
| 5 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 20 |
| 6 | Sarmiento | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 20 |
| 7 | Huracan | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 19 |
| 8 | Independiente Rivadavia | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 19 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 18 |
| 10 | Atlético Tucumán | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| 11 | CA Tigre | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 13 |
| 12 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 13 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 12 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 9 |
| 15 | CA Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 8 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rosario Central | Huracan |
|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia LP | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Barracas Central | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| CA Aldosivi | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Rosario Central (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rosario Central
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 06/10 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 9 | D |
| 29/08 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 25/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 17/08 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
Huracan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 10/10 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 20/09 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 09/08 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rosario Central vs Huracan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rosario Central win (59%). Probabilities: Rosario Central 59%, draw 27%, Huracan 15%.
How many goals are expected in Rosario Central vs Huracan?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Rosario Central 1.67 · Huracan 0.72), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Rosario Central vs Huracan?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.