Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 25/10, 23:15
Prediction: River Plate vs Racing Club
Team pages: River Plate · Racing Club
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.92Total
River Plate2.03
Racing Club0.9
1X2
River Plate
Draw
Racing Club
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
River Plate
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Racing Club
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
River Plate
4–2
Racing Club
(6 last)
- Racing Club0-2River Plate
- Racing Club3-2River Plate
- Racing Club0-1River Plate
- Racing Club1-0River Plate
- River Plate2-1Racing Club
- Racing Club1-2River Plate
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · River Plate 1562 · Racing Club 1449
| River Plate | Draw | Racing Club | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 23% | 15% |
| Market | 62% | 23% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours River Plate (rating 1562 vs 1449).
- H2H favours River Plate: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| River Plate | Racing Club | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.2 | 2.1 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 5.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · River Plate 4–0–2 Racing Club
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Racing Club | 0-2 HT 0-1 | River Plate |
| 24/11/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Racing Club | 3-2 HT 1-0 | River Plate |
| 02/10/25 Argentina Cup | Racing Club | 0-1 HT 0-1 | River Plate |
| 15/12/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Racing Club | 1-0 HT 1-0 | River Plate |
| 29/07/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | River Plate | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Racing Club |
| 23/10/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Racing Club | 1-2 HT 0-0 | River Plate |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
| 4 | Gimnasia LP | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 22 |
| 5 | Sarmiento | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 21 |
| 6 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 20 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 19 |
| 8 | Huracan | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 19 |
| 9 | Independiente Rivadavia | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 19 |
| 10 | Atlético Tucumán | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| 11 | CA Tigre | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 13 |
| 12 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 13 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 12 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 9 |
| 15 | CA Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | River Plate | Racing Club |
|---|---|---|
| Belgrano | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Sarmiento | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Huracan | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Atlético Tucumán | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Independiente Rivadavia | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Banfield | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Argentinos Jrs | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: River Plate (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
River Plate
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 15/10 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 07/09 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 24/08 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
Racing Club
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 12/10 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 05/10 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 07/09 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 10/08 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in River Plate vs Racing Club?
According to our model, the most likely result is a River Plate win (62%). Probabilities: River Plate 62%, draw 23%, Racing Club 15%.
How many goals are expected in River Plate vs Racing Club?
The model expects 2.92 goals (River Plate 2.03 · Racing Club 0.9), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in River Plate vs Racing Club?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.