Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 25/10, 22:00
Prediction: CA Aldosivi vs Belgrano
Team pages: CA Aldosivi · Belgrano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.12Total
CA Aldosivi0.84
Belgrano1.28
1X2
CA Aldosivi
Draw
Belgrano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Aldosivi
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Belgrano
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Aldosivi
2–2–2
Belgrano
(6 last)
- Belgrano1-0CA Aldosivi
- CA Aldosivi0-0Belgrano
- Belgrano2-0CA Aldosivi
- CA Aldosivi2-0Belgrano
- Belgrano0-0CA Aldosivi
- Belgrano0-1CA Aldosivi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Aldosivi 1419 · Belgrano 1528
| CA Aldosivi | Draw | Belgrano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 31% | 46% |
| Market | 24% | 30% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belgrano (rating 1419 vs 1528).
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Aldosivi | Belgrano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.5 | 2.5 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Aldosivi 2–2–2 Belgrano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Belgrano | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA Aldosivi |
| 15/08/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Aldosivi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Belgrano |
| 12/02/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Belgrano | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CA Aldosivi |
| 24/09/18 Argentina Superliga | CA Aldosivi | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Belgrano |
| 15/10/16 Argentina Superliga | Belgrano | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Aldosivi |
| 17/03/15 Argentina Liga Profesional | Belgrano | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CA Aldosivi |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
| 4 | Gimnasia LP | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 22 |
| 5 | Sarmiento | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 21 |
| 6 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 20 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 19 |
| 8 | Huracan | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 19 |
| 9 | Independiente Rivadavia | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 19 |
| 10 | Atlético Tucumán | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| 11 | CA Tigre | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 13 |
| 12 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 13 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 12 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 9 |
| 15 | CA Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Aldosivi | Belgrano |
|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Sarmiento | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Huracan | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Atlético Tucumán | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Independiente Rivadavia | 3-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Banfield | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Belgrano (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Aldosivi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 09/10 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 04/10 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 21/09 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 30/08 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 21/08 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
Belgrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/10 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 21/09 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/08 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Aldosivi vs Belgrano?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Belgrano win (46%). Probabilities: CA Aldosivi 23%, draw 31%, Belgrano 46%.
How many goals are expected in CA Aldosivi vs Belgrano?
The model expects 2.12 goals (CA Aldosivi 0.84 · Belgrano 1.28), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Aldosivi vs Belgrano?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.