Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 06/09, 22:00
Prediction: Belgrano vs Huracan
Team pages: Belgrano · Huracan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.75Total
Belgrano1.05
Huracan0.7
1X2
Belgrano
Draw
Huracan
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Belgrano
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Huracan
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Belgrano
2–1–3
Huracan
(6 last)
- Huracan3-1Belgrano
- Huracan0-3Belgrano
- Belgrano1-1Huracan
- Huracan1-0Belgrano
- Belgrano2-0Huracan
- Belgrano0-1Huracan
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Belgrano 1544 · Huracan 1501
| Belgrano | Draw | Huracan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 35% | 23% |
| Market | 44% | 32% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.75 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belgrano (rating 1544 vs 1501).
- H2H favours Huracan: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Belgrano | Huracan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.9 | 1.3 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Belgrano 2–1–3 Huracan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Huracan | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Belgrano |
| 12/07/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Huracan | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Belgrano |
| 25/01/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Belgrano | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Huracan |
| 19/08/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Huracan | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Belgrano |
| 13/04/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Belgrano | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Huracan |
| 30/09/18 Argentina Superliga | Belgrano | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Huracan |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Sarmiento | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| 3 | Gimnasia LP | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| 4 | Belgrano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | CA Tigre | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Rosario Central | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | Atlético Tucumán | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Huracan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 | Independiente Rivadavia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | Banfield | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 14 | River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 | CA Aldosivi | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Belgrano | Huracan |
|---|---|---|
| Atlético Tucumán | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Independiente Rivadavia | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Banfield | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Argentinos Jrs | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Belgrano (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Belgrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/08 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 06/08 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/07 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 13/05 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Huracan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 09/08 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 04/08 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 31/07 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Belgrano vs Huracan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Belgrano win (43%). Probabilities: Belgrano 43%, draw 34%, Huracan 23%.
How many goals are expected in Belgrano vs Huracan?
The model expects 1.75 goals (Belgrano 1.05 · Huracan 0.7), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Belgrano vs Huracan?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.