Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 20/10, 00:00
Prediction: Newell's vs Central Cordoba
Team pages: Newell's · Central Cordoba
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Newell's1.44
Central Cordoba0.8
1X2
Newell's
Draw
Central Cordoba
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Newell's
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Central Cordoba
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Newell's
2–2–2
Central Cordoba
(6 last)
- Central Cordoba1-3Newell's
- Newell's1-1Central Cordoba
- Central Cordoba2-0Newell's
- Newell's2-3Central Cordoba
- Central Cordoba0-0Newell's
- Central Cordoba0-1Newell's
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Newell's 1539 · Central Cordoba 1460
| Newell's | Draw | Central Cordoba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 29% | 20% |
| Market | 50% | 31% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Newell's (rating 1539 vs 1460).
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Newell's | Central Cordoba | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.1 | 2.9 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Newell's 2–2–2 Central Cordoba
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Central Cordoba | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Newell's |
| 09/08/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Newell's | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Central Cordoba |
| 08/02/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Central Cordoba | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Newell's |
| 20/11/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Newell's | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Central Cordoba |
| 22/08/24 Argentina Cup | Central Cordoba | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Newell's |
| 26/01/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Central Cordoba | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Newell's |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 29 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 24 |
| 5 | Lanus | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 9 | 23 |
| 6 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 20 |
| 7 | CA Independiente | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 18 |
| 8 | Newell's | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes LP | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 14 |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 21 | 13 |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 11 |
| 13 | Platense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 10 |
| 15 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Newell's | Central Cordoba |
|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes LP | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Deportivo Riestra | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Defensa y Justicia | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Boca Juniors | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Newell's (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Newell's
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 11/09 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 01/09 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Central Cordoba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 05/10 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 18/09 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/08 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 04/08 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Newell's vs Central Cordoba?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Newell's win (50%). Probabilities: Newell's 50%, draw 30%, Central Cordoba 19%.
How many goals are expected in Newell's vs Central Cordoba?
The model expects 2.24 goals (Newell's 1.44 · Central Cordoba 0.8), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Newell's vs Central Cordoba?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.