Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 20/10, 02:15
Prediction: Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe
Team pages: Deportivo Riestra · Union Santa Fe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.1Total
Deportivo Riestra1.2
Union Santa Fe0.9
1X2
Deportivo Riestra
Draw
Union Santa Fe
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Riestra
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Union Santa Fe
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Riestra
0–1–1
Union Santa Fe
(2 last)
- Union Santa Fe2-0Deportivo Riestra
- Union Santa Fe0-0Deportivo Riestra
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Riestra 1446 · Union Santa Fe 1473
| Deportivo Riestra | Draw | Union Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 32% | 26% |
| Market | 41% | 33% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.1 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Riestra | Union Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1 | 1.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.7 | 0.9 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 5.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Riestra 0–1–1 Union Santa Fe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Union Santa Fe | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Riestra |
| 31/08/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Union Santa Fe | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Riestra |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 13 | 21 |
| 5 | Lanus | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 20 |
| 7 | CA Independiente | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 18 |
| 8 | Newell's | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes LP | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 14 |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 21 | 13 |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 11 |
| 13 | Platense | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 11 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 10 |
| 15 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 9 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Riestra | Union Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| San Lorenzo | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Central Cordoba | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Lanus | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Riestra
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 05/10 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 15/09 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Union Santa Fe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 03/10 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 19/09 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 08/09 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 11/08 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 07/08 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Riestra win (41%). Probabilities: Deportivo Riestra 41%, draw 33%, Union Santa Fe 26%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe?
The model expects 2.1 goals (Deportivo Riestra 1.2 · Union Santa Fe 0.9), with a 55% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.