Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 09/10, 23:00
Prediction: Gimnasia LP vs Atlético Tucumán
Team pages: Gimnasia LP · Atlético Tucumán
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Gimnasia LP1.37
Atlético Tucumán0.87
1X2
Gimnasia LP
Draw
Atlético Tucumán
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Gimnasia LP
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Atlético Tucumán
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gimnasia LP
4–2
Atlético Tucumán
(6 last)
- Atlético Tucumán1-0Gimnasia LP
- Gimnasia LP1-0Atlético Tucumán
- Atlético Tucumán0-1Gimnasia LP
- Gimnasia LP1-0Atlético Tucumán
- Atlético Tucumán1-2Gimnasia LP
- Atlético Tucumán3-2Gimnasia LP
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gimnasia LP 1526 · Atlético Tucumán 1497
| Gimnasia LP | Draw | Atlético Tucumán | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 30% | 23% |
| Market | 48% | 29% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gimnasia LP: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gimnasia LP | Atlético Tucumán | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 3.6 | 2.8 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.4 | 3.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnasia LP 4–0–2 Atlético Tucumán
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Atlético Tucumán | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Gimnasia LP |
| 01/09/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Gimnasia LP | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Atlético Tucumán |
| 24/02/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Atlético Tucumán | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Gimnasia LP |
| 24/11/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Gimnasia LP | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Atlético Tucumán |
| 23/05/24 Argentina Cup | Atlético Tucumán | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia LP |
| 07/04/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Atlético Tucumán | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Gimnasia LP |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Huracan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Independiente Rivadavia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 18 |
| 6 | Gimnasia LP | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 18 |
| 7 | Sarmiento | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 16 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 15 |
| 9 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 10 | Atlético Tucumán | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 13 |
| 11 | CA Tigre | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 11 |
| 13 | Banfield | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 14 | CA Aldosivi | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 6 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gimnasia LP | Atlético Tucumán |
|---|---|---|
| Barracas Central | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| CA Aldosivi | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| River Plate | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Gimnasia LP (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gimnasia LP
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 13/09 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 09/08 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/07 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Atlético Tucumán
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/09 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 12/09 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 17/08 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 04/08 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 31/07 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gimnasia LP vs Atlético Tucumán?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimnasia LP win (47%). Probabilities: Gimnasia LP 47%, draw 30%, Atlético Tucumán 23%.
How many goals are expected in Gimnasia LP vs Atlético Tucumán?
The model expects 2.24 goals (Gimnasia LP 1.37 · Atlético Tucumán 0.87), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia LP vs Atlético Tucumán?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.