Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 18/10, 19:45
Prediction: Racing Club vs CA Independiente
Team pages: Racing Club · CA Independiente
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Racing Club1.4
CA Independiente0.96
1X2
Racing Club
Draw
CA Independiente
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Racing Club
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
CA Independiente
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Racing Club
1–3–2
CA Independiente
(6 last)
- CA Independiente1-0Racing Club
- Racing Club0-0CA Independiente
- CA Independiente1-1Racing Club
- Racing Club0-0CA Independiente
- CA Independiente0-1Racing Club
- Racing Club0-2CA Independiente
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Racing Club 1439 · CA Independiente 1486
| Racing Club | Draw | CA Independiente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 30% | 24% |
| Market | 45% | 31% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Independiente (rating 1439 vs 1486).
- H2H favours CA Independiente: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Racing Club | CA Independiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.8 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.1 | 1.9 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Club 1–3–2 CA Independiente
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Independiente | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Racing Club |
| 28/09/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Racing Club | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Independiente |
| 16/03/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Independiente | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Racing Club |
| 25/08/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Racing Club | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Independiente |
| 24/02/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | CA Independiente | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Racing Club |
| 01/10/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Racing Club | 0-2 HT 0-1 | CA Independiente |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 22 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 22 |
| 4 | Gimnasia LP | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 22 |
| 5 | Sarmiento | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 20 |
| 6 | Huracan | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 19 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 18 |
| 8 | Independiente Rivadavia | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 18 |
| 9 | River Plate | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 17 |
| 10 | Atlético Tucumán | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 14 |
| 11 | Banfield | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 13 |
| 12 | CA Tigre | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 12 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Aldosivi | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 6 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Racing Club
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 05/10 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 07/09 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 10/08 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 02/08 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
CA Independiente
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 03/10 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 19/09 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 31/08 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 17/08 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Racing Club vs CA Independiente?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing Club win (46%). Probabilities: Racing Club 46%, draw 30%, CA Independiente 24%.
How many goals are expected in Racing Club vs CA Independiente?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Racing Club 1.4 · CA Independiente 0.96), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Racing Club vs CA Independiente?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.