Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 17/10, 00:00
Prediction: Defensa y Justicia vs Instituto AC Cordoba
Team pages: Defensa y Justicia · Instituto AC Cordoba
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Defensa y Justicia1.12
Instituto AC Cordoba1.22
1X2
Defensa y Justicia
Draw
Instituto AC Cordoba
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Defensa y Justicia
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Instituto AC Cordoba
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Defensa y Justicia
1–2
Instituto AC Cordoba
(3 last)
- Instituto AC Cordoba2-0Defensa y Justicia
- Instituto AC Cordoba4-1Defensa y Justicia
- Defensa y Justicia1-0Instituto AC Cordoba
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Defensa y Justicia 1546 · Instituto AC Cordoba 1582
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Instituto AC Cordoba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 31% | 37% |
| Market | 32% | 32% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Instituto AC Cordoba: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Defensa y Justicia | Instituto AC Cordoba | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 1.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 0/100/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.8 | 2.7 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.3 | 5.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensa y Justicia 1–0–2 Instituto AC Cordoba
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Instituto AC Cordoba | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Defensa y Justicia |
| 24/08/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Instituto AC Cordoba | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Defensa y Justicia |
| 15/04/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Defensa y Justicia | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Instituto AC Cordoba |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | CA Independiente | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Lanus | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | Newell's | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 17 |
| 8 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes LP | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 14 |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 21 | 13 |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 11 |
| 13 | Platense | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 11 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 10 |
| 15 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Defensa y Justicia | Instituto AC Cordoba |
|---|---|---|
| Union Santa Fe | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| San Lorenzo | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Central Cordoba | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Gimnasia Mendoza | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Lanus | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Defensa y Justicia (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Defensa y Justicia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 03/10 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/09 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/09 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 18/08 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-3 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Instituto AC Cordoba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 03/10 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 20/09 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 15/09 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 08/09 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 01/09 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 17/08 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 03/08 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Defensa y Justicia vs Instituto AC Cordoba?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Instituto AC Cordoba win (37%). Probabilities: Defensa y Justicia 32%, draw 31%, Instituto AC Cordoba 37%.
How many goals are expected in Defensa y Justicia vs Instituto AC Cordoba?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Defensa y Justicia 1.12 · Instituto AC Cordoba 1.22), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Defensa y Justicia vs Instituto AC Cordoba?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.