Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 26/10, 01:30
Prediction: Central Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield
Team pages: Central Cordoba · Velez Sarsfield
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Central Cordoba1.05
Velez Sarsfield1.24
1X2
Central Cordoba
Draw
Velez Sarsfield
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Central Cordoba
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Velez Sarsfield
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Central Cordoba
1–5
Velez Sarsfield
(6 last)
- Velez Sarsfield1-0Central Cordoba
- Velez Sarsfield2-0Central Cordoba
- Velez Sarsfield0-1Central Cordoba
- Central Cordoba0-2Velez Sarsfield
- Velez Sarsfield4-0Central Cordoba
- Velez Sarsfield3-1Central Cordoba
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Central Cordoba 1449 · Velez Sarsfield 1530
| Central Cordoba | Draw | Velez Sarsfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 31% | 39% |
| Market | 30% | 32% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Velez Sarsfield (rating 1449 vs 1530).
- H2H favours Velez Sarsfield: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Central Cordoba | Velez Sarsfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.8 | 3.1 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Cordoba 1–0–5 Velez Sarsfield
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Velez Sarsfield | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Central Cordoba |
| 06/09/25 Argentina Super Cup | Velez Sarsfield | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Central Cordoba |
| 12/12/24 Argentina Cup | Velez Sarsfield | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Central Cordoba |
| 29/07/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Central Cordoba | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Velez Sarsfield |
| 22/03/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Velez Sarsfield | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Central Cordoba |
| 26/10/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Velez Sarsfield | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Central Cordoba |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 29 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 24 |
| 5 | Lanus | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 9 | 23 |
| 6 | Newell's | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 20 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 20 |
| 8 | CA Independiente | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 19 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 17 |
| 10 | Estudiantes LP | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | 14 |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 12 |
| 13 | Platense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 10 |
| 15 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Central Cordoba | Velez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| Newell's | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Estudiantes LP | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Riestra | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Defensa y Justicia | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Boca Juniors | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| CA Tigre | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 3 L | 2 W 4 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Velez Sarsfield (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Central Cordoba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 10/10 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 05/10 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 18/09 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/08 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
Velez Sarsfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 12/10 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 06/10 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 21/09 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 11/09 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 24/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/08 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Central Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Velez Sarsfield win (39%). Probabilities: Central Cordoba 30%, draw 31%, Velez Sarsfield 39%.
How many goals are expected in Central Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Central Cordoba 1.05 · Velez Sarsfield 1.24), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Central Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.