Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 27/10, 23:00
Prediction: Argentinos Jrs vs Independiente Rivadavia
Team pages: Argentinos Jrs · Independiente Rivadavia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
Argentinos Jrs1.5
Independiente Rivadavia1
1X2
Argentinos Jrs
Draw
Independiente Rivadavia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Argentinos Jrs
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Independiente Rivadavia
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Argentinos Jrs
1–2–3
Independiente Rivadavia
(6 last)
- Independiente Rivadavia3-1Argentinos Jrs
- Independiente Rivadavia2-2Argentinos Jrs
- Independiente Rivadavia2-1Argentinos Jrs
- Argentinos Jrs0-0Independiente Rivadavia
- Independiente Rivadavia2-1Argentinos Jrs
- Argentinos Jrs2-1Independiente Rivadavia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Argentinos Jrs 1514 · Independiente Rivadavia 1520
| Argentinos Jrs | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 28% | 24% |
| Market | 47% | 30% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Independiente Rivadavia: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Argentinos Jrs | Independiente Rivadavia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.2 | 2 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 5.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Argentinos Jrs 1–2–3 Independiente Rivadavia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Independiente Rivadavia | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Argentinos Jrs |
| 06/11/25 Argentina Cup | Independiente Rivadavia | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Argentinos Jrs |
| 30/08/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Independiente Rivadavia | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Argentinos Jrs |
| 24/02/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Argentinos Jrs | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 03/12/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Independiente Rivadavia | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Argentinos Jrs |
| 20/02/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Argentinos Jrs | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Independiente Rivadavia |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
| 4 | Gimnasia LP | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 22 |
| 5 | Sarmiento | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 21 |
| 6 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 20 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 19 |
| 8 | Huracan | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 19 |
| 9 | Independiente Rivadavia | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 19 |
| 10 | Atlético Tucumán | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| 11 | CA Tigre | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 13 |
| 12 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 13 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 12 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 9 |
| 15 | CA Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 8 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Argentinos Jrs | Independiente Rivadavia |
|---|---|---|
| CA Tigre | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Rosario Central | 0-1 L | 0-5 L |
| Gimnasia LP | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Barracas Central | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| CA Aldosivi | 2-1 W | 4-3 W |
| River Plate | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Racing Club | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Argentinos Jrs
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 05/10 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 08/09 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 6 | W |
| 25/08 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 16/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 10 | W |
Independiente Rivadavia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-5 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 22/09 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
3-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 07/09 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 31/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Argentinos Jrs vs Independiente Rivadavia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Argentinos Jrs win (47%). Probabilities: Argentinos Jrs 47%, draw 29%, Independiente Rivadavia 24%.
How many goals are expected in Argentinos Jrs vs Independiente Rivadavia?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Argentinos Jrs 1.5 · Independiente Rivadavia 1), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Argentinos Jrs vs Independiente Rivadavia?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.