Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 27/10, 01:15
Prediction: Instituto AC Cordoba vs Deportivo Riestra
Team pages: Instituto AC Cordoba · Deportivo Riestra
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.98Total
Instituto AC Cordoba1.26
Deportivo Riestra0.72
1X2
Instituto AC Cordoba
Draw
Deportivo Riestra
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Instituto AC Cordoba
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Riestra
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Instituto AC Cordoba
4–1–1
Deportivo Riestra
(6 last)
- Deportivo Riestra0-1Instituto AC Cordoba
- Deportivo Riestra1-0Instituto AC Cordoba
- Instituto AC Cordoba3-0Deportivo Riestra
- Instituto AC Cordoba2-1Deportivo Riestra
- Instituto AC Cordoba0-0Deportivo Riestra
- Instituto AC Cordoba2-1Deportivo Riestra
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Instituto AC Cordoba 1587 · Deportivo Riestra 1455
| Instituto AC Cordoba | Draw | Deportivo Riestra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 32% | 20% |
| Market | 49% | 30% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.98 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Instituto AC Cordoba (rating 1587 vs 1455).
- H2H favours Instituto AC Cordoba: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Instituto AC Cordoba | Deportivo Riestra | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/90/0% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.5 | 1.4 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.4 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Instituto AC Cordoba 4–1–1 Deportivo Riestra
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Deportivo Riestra | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Instituto AC Cordoba |
| 21/10/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Deportivo Riestra | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Instituto AC Cordoba |
| 13/04/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Instituto AC Cordoba | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Riestra |
| 01/12/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Instituto AC Cordoba | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Riestra |
| 25/01/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Instituto AC Cordoba | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Riestra |
| 08/06/23 Argentina Cup | Instituto AC Cordoba | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Riestra |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 29 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 24 |
| 5 | Lanus | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 9 | 23 |
| 6 | Newell's | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 20 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 20 |
| 8 | CA Independiente | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 19 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 17 |
| 10 | Estudiantes LP | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | 14 |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 12 |
| 13 | Platense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 10 |
| 15 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Instituto AC Cordoba | Deportivo Riestra |
|---|---|---|
| Union Santa Fe | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| San Lorenzo | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Central Cordoba | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Gimnasia Mendoza | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Instituto AC Cordoba (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Instituto AC Cordoba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 03/10 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 20/09 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 15/09 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 08/09 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 01/09 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 17/08 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
Deportivo Riestra
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/10 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 05/10 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 15/09 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Instituto AC Cordoba vs Deportivo Riestra?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Instituto AC Cordoba win (49%). Probabilities: Instituto AC Cordoba 49%, draw 31%, Deportivo Riestra 20%.
How many goals are expected in Instituto AC Cordoba vs Deportivo Riestra?
The model expects 1.98 goals (Instituto AC Cordoba 1.26 · Deportivo Riestra 0.72), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Instituto AC Cordoba vs Deportivo Riestra?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.