Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 17/10, 20:00

Prediction: Banfield vs Argentinos Jrs

Team pages: Banfield · Argentinos Jrs

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

Banfield0.97

Argentinos Jrs1.52

1X2

23% 29% 49%

Banfield Draw Argentinos Jrs

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Banfield 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLLLDDDW

Argentinos Jrs 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWLDWDDLWD

Head-to-head

Banfield 0–6 Argentinos Jrs (6 last)

Argentinos Jrs3-2Banfield
Argentinos Jrs3-0Banfield
Banfield1-2Argentinos Jrs
Argentinos Jrs1-0Banfield
Argentinos Jrs4-2Banfield
Banfield0-1Argentinos Jrs

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Banfield 1477 · Argentinos Jrs 1524

	Banfield	Draw	Argentinos Jrs
Our model	23%	28%	49%
Market	23%	29%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Argentinos Jrs (rating 1477 vs 1524).
H2H favours Argentinos Jrs: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Banfield	Argentinos Jrs
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.5	1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.2	3 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	4.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.10

X3.20

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.32
2	1.91 → 1.91	Pinn 2.07 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:23 +9’	4.10	3.20	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:06 +128’	3.77	3.32	2.07

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Banfield 0–0–6 Argentinos Jrs

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional	Argentinos Jrs	3-2 HT 2-1	Banfield
22/09/25 Argentina Liga Profesional	Argentinos Jrs	3-0 HT 0-0	Banfield
07/03/25 Argentina Liga Profesional	Banfield	1-2 HT 1-0	Argentinos Jrs
12/11/24 Argentina Liga Profesional	Argentinos Jrs	1-0 HT 1-0	Banfield
10/02/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional	Argentinos Jrs	4-2 HT 2-1	Banfield
16/09/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional	Banfield	0-1 HT 0-0	Argentinos Jrs

Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rosario Central	12	6	4	2	17	9	22
2	Belgrano	12	6	4	2	14	7	22
3	Argentinos Jrs	12	6	4	2	16	11	22
4	Sarmiento	11	6	1	4	20	17	19
5	Huracan	12	5	4	3	11	10	19
6	Gimnasia LP	12	5	4	3	17	17	19
7	Barracas Central	12	5	3	4	10	9	18
8	Independiente Rivadavia	12	5	3	4	15	19	18
9	River Plate	11	5	1	5	14	12	16
10	Atlético Tucumán	12	3	5	4	10	10	14
11	Banfield	12	3	4	5	14	18	13
12	CA Tigre	12	3	3	6	11	13	12
13	Racing Club	12	3	2	7	13	19	11
14	CA Aldosivi	12	2	2	8	13	20	8
15	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	12	1	3	8	6	16	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Banfield	Argentinos Jrs
CA Tigre	2-1 W	2-1 W
Rosario Central	1-1 D	0-1 L
Gimnasia LP	2-2 D	1-1 D
Barracas Central	1-1 D	0-0 D
CA Aldosivi	1-3 L	2-1 W
River Plate	2-3 L	0-2 L
Racing Club	1-0 W	2-1 W
Belgrano	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Banfield

DLWLLLDDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional	2-1	2-1	3	5	W
06/10	Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-1	7	4	D
19/09	Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional	1-1	2-2	2	2	D
15/09	Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
05/09	CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional	0-2	1-3	4	8	L
30/08	River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional	0-2	2-3	4	1	L
23/08	Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
15/08	Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
11/08	Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
01/08	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Argentinos Jrs

WWLDWDDLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Platense Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
05/10	CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional	2-0	2-1	4	4	W
20/09	Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-1	9	3	L
13/09	Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
08/09	Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
30/08	CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	2-1	14	6	W
25/08	Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
16/08	River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
10/08	Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional	1-1	2-1	9	10	W
01/08	Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Banfield vs Argentinos Jrs?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Argentinos Jrs win (49%). Probabilities: Banfield 23%, draw 29%, Argentinos Jrs 49%.

How many goals are expected in Banfield vs Argentinos Jrs?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Banfield 0.97 · Argentinos Jrs 1.52), with a 57% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Banfield vs Argentinos Jrs?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.