Prediction: Lanus vs Gimnasia Mendoza

Team pages: Lanus · Gimnasia Mendoza

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Lanus1.62
Gimnasia Mendoza0.7
1X2
59% 26% 15%
Lanus Draw Gimnasia Mendoza
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Lanus 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LDLWWWDWWD
Gimnasia Mendoza 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WWWDLDLWLL
Head-to-head
Lanus 0–1 Gimnasia Mendoza (1 last)
  • Gimnasia Mendoza1-0Lanus
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lanus 1539 · Gimnasia Mendoza 1503
LanusDrawGimnasia Mendoza
Our model58%27%15%
Market59%25%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

LanusGimnasia Mendoza
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.71.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.20.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 5.11.5 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 04.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lanus 0–0–1 Gimnasia Mendoza

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/04/26
Argentina Liga Profesional
Gimnasia Mendoza1-0
HT 0-0
Lanus

Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Instituto AC Cordoba 141022 211032
2 Velez Sarsfield 14761 231327
3 Boca Juniors 14761 221427
4 Defensa y Justicia 14833 201327
5 Lanus 14734 171024
6 Newell's 14563 131021
7 Gimnasia Mendoza 14626 161520
8 CA Independiente 14545 121419
9 San Lorenzo 14536 71218
10 Union Santa Fe 14527 212317
11 Estudiantes LP 14428 171814
12 Platense 14356 142014
13 Deportivo Riestra 14266 101412
14 Central Cordoba 14248 112310
15 CA Talleres de Córdoba 14239 13229

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLanusGimnasia Mendoza
Platense 1-0 W 1-2 L
Velez Sarsfield 2-0 W 0-1 L
Newell's 0-0 D 1-0 W
Estudiantes LP 2-1 W 0-3 L
Deportivo Riestra 3-0 W 0-0 D
Defensa y Justicia 1-0 W 0-2 L
Boca Juniors 0-1 L 2-2 D
CA Independiente 1-3 L 3-0 W
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 2 L 2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Lanus (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lanus

LDLWWWDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Banfield
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-1 1-1 67 D
17/10 Platense
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 1-0 54 W
12/10 Velez Sarsfield
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 2-0 55 W
03/10 Newell's
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-0 53 D
22/09 Estudiantes LP
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 2-1 14 W
15/09 Deportivo Riestra
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 3-0 43 W
06/09 Defensa y Justicia
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 1-0 74 W
29/08 Boca Juniors
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-1 33 L
25/08 Argentinos Jrs
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 1-1 51 D
17/08 CA Independiente
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-1 1-3 105 L

Gimnasia Mendoza

WWWDLDLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/10 Platense
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 1-2 22 L
18/10 Velez Sarsfield
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-1 26 L
12/10 Newell's
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 1-0 14 W
06/10 Estudiantes LP
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-3 54 L
19/09 Deportivo Riestra
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-0 46 D
12/09 Defensa y Justicia
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-1 0-2 64 L
05/09 Boca Juniors
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-2 2-2 55 D
31/08 CA Independiente
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 3-0 42 W
22/08 Gimnasia LP
Argentina Liga Profesional
2-0 3-2 13 W
18/08 CA Talleres de Córdoba
Argentina Liga Profesional
2-0 3-1 78 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lanus vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lanus win (59%). Probabilities: Lanus 59%, draw 26%, Gimnasia Mendoza 15%.

How many goals are expected in Lanus vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

The model expects 2.31 goals (Lanus 1.62 · Gimnasia Mendoza 0.7), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Lanus vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.