Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 03/11, 01:15

Prediction: Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Jrs

Team pages: Atlético Tucumán · Argentinos Jrs

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.88Total

Atlético Tucumán0.84

Argentinos Jrs1.04

1X2

28% 33% 39%

Atlético Tucumán Draw Argentinos Jrs

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Atlético Tucumán 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDDWLLLDLW

Argentinos Jrs 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LDWDDLWDWW

Head-to-head

Atlético Tucumán 1–3–2 Argentinos Jrs (6 last)

Argentinos Jrs1-0Atlético Tucumán
Argentinos Jrs0-0Atlético Tucumán
Atlético Tucumán0-0Argentinos Jrs
Argentinos Jrs2-2Atlético Tucumán
Atlético Tucumán1-2Argentinos Jrs
Argentinos Jrs1-2Atlético Tucumán

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atlético Tucumán 1477 · Argentinos Jrs 1532

	Atlético Tucumán	Draw	Argentinos Jrs
Our model	27%	34%	38%
Market	29%	31%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 1.88 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Argentinos Jrs (rating 1477 vs 1532).
H2H favours Argentinos Jrs: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atlético Tucumán	Argentinos Jrs
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.1	0.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.9	3.1 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.00

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.35 → 2.35	Pinn 2.60 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.1% Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:18 +5’	3.20	3.00	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:15 +8’	3.03	2.99	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlético Tucumán 1–3–2 Argentinos Jrs

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional	Argentinos Jrs	1-0 HT 0-0	Atlético Tucumán
01/10/24 Argentina Liga Profesional	Argentinos Jrs	0-0 HT 0-0	Atlético Tucumán
07/02/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional	Atlético Tucumán	0-0 HT 0-0	Argentinos Jrs
03/09/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional	Argentinos Jrs	2-2 HT 2-0	Atlético Tucumán
13/05/23 Argentina Liga Profesional	Atlético Tucumán	1-2 HT 1-1	Argentinos Jrs
20/09/22 Argentina Liga Profesional	Argentinos Jrs	1-2 HT 0-2	Atlético Tucumán

Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rosario Central	14	8	4	2	22	11	28
2	Argentinos Jrs	14	8	4	2	18	11	28
3	Gimnasia LP	14	7	4	3	21	18	25
4	River Plate	14	7	2	5	19	13	23
5	Belgrano	14	6	4	4	14	11	22
6	Barracas Central	14	6	4	4	13	11	22
7	Sarmiento	14	6	3	5	22	21	21
8	Huracan	14	5	4	5	12	14	19
9	Independiente Rivadavia	14	5	4	5	17	22	19
10	Atlético Tucumán	14	4	5	5	13	13	17
11	Banfield	14	3	5	6	15	20	14
12	CA Tigre	14	3	4	7	13	16	13
13	Racing Club	14	3	3	8	14	21	12
14	CA Aldosivi	14	3	2	9	15	22	11
15	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	14	2	3	9	9	19	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atlético Tucumán	Argentinos Jrs
CA Tigre	1-0 W	2-1 W
Rosario Central	2-3 L	0-1 L
Gimnasia LP	1-1 D	1-1 D
Barracas Central	2-3 L	0-0 D
CA Aldosivi	0-1 L	2-1 W
River Plate	1-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Argentinos Jrs (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atlético Tucumán

WDDWLLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
18/10	Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional	2-2	2-3	5	5	L
09/10	Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
03/10	Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	2-3	4	5	L
21/09	CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
12/09	River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	1-2	1	5	L
07/09	Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
30/08	Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
22/08	Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
17/08	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-0	7	5	W

Argentinos Jrs

LDWDDLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-0	9	9	W
17/10	Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
11/10	Platense Argentina Liga Profesional	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
05/10	CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional	2-0	2-1	4	4	W
20/09	Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-1	9	3	L
13/09	Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
08/09	Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
30/08	CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	2-1	14	6	W
25/08	Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
16/08	River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional	0-1	0-2	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Jrs?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Argentinos Jrs win (39%). Probabilities: Atlético Tucumán 28%, draw 33%, Argentinos Jrs 39%.

How many goals are expected in Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Jrs?

The model expects 1.88 goals (Atlético Tucumán 0.84 · Argentinos Jrs 1.04), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Atlético Tucumán vs Argentinos Jrs?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.