Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 01/11, 22:30
Prediction: Belgrano vs Barracas Central
Team pages: Belgrano · Barracas Central
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.85Total
Belgrano1.23
Barracas Central0.62
1X2
Belgrano
Draw
Barracas Central
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
1-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Belgrano
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Barracas Central
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Belgrano
0–4–2
Barracas Central
(6 last)
- Barracas Central0-0Belgrano
- Barracas Central1-1Belgrano
- Belgrano1-1Barracas Central
- Barracas Central1-1Belgrano
- Belgrano0-2Barracas Central
- Barracas Central1-0Belgrano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Belgrano 1495 · Barracas Central 1493
| Belgrano | Draw | Barracas Central | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 33% | 18% |
| Market | 52% | 29% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.85 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Barracas Central: 2-4-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Belgrano | Barracas Central | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.5 | 2.4 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Belgrano 0–4–2 Barracas Central
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Belgrano |
| 29/09/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Belgrano |
| 17/03/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Belgrano | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Barracas Central |
| 21/11/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Belgrano |
| 07/07/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Belgrano | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Barracas Central |
| 12/12/20 Argentina Nacional B | Barracas Central | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Belgrano |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 28 |
| 2 | Argentinos Jrs | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | Gimnasia LP | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 25 |
| 4 | River Plate | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 23 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 22 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 22 |
| 7 | Sarmiento | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 21 |
| 8 | Huracan | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 19 |
| 9 | Independiente Rivadavia | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 19 |
| 10 | Atlético Tucumán | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 17 |
| 11 | Banfield | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 14 |
| 12 | CA Tigre | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 13 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 12 |
| 14 | CA Aldosivi | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 11 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Belgrano | Barracas Central |
|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Sarmiento | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Huracan | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Atlético Tucumán | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Independiente Rivadavia | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Barracas Central (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Belgrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 19/10 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/10 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 21/09 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Barracas Central
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 20/10 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/09 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 15/09 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 08/09 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 01/09 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Belgrano vs Barracas Central?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Belgrano win (51%). Probabilities: Belgrano 51%, draw 31%, Barracas Central 19%.
How many goals are expected in Belgrano vs Barracas Central?
The model expects 1.85 goals (Belgrano 1.23 · Barracas Central 0.62), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Belgrano vs Barracas Central?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.