Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 31/10, 18:45
Prediction: Defensa y Justicia vs CA Independiente
Team pages: Defensa y Justicia · CA Independiente
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
Defensa y Justicia1.29
CA Independiente0.98
1X2
Defensa y Justicia
Draw
CA Independiente
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Defensa y Justicia
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
CA Independiente
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Defensa y Justicia
2–2–2
CA Independiente
(6 last)
- CA Independiente3-1Defensa y Justicia
- Defensa y Justicia0-0CA Independiente
- CA Independiente0-2Defensa y Justicia
- Defensa y Justicia2-1CA Independiente
- CA Independiente0-0Defensa y Justicia
- CA Independiente1-0Defensa y Justicia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Defensa y Justicia 1547 · CA Independiente 1501
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | CA Independiente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 31% | 27% |
| Market | 42% | 31% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Defensa y Justicia (rating 1547 vs 1501).
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Defensa y Justicia | CA Independiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4 | 1.6 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensa y Justicia 2–2–2 CA Independiente
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Independiente | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Defensa y Justicia |
| 04/06/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Defensa y Justicia | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Independiente |
| 20/02/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Independiente | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Defensa y Justicia |
| 21/07/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Defensa y Justicia | 2-1 HT 1-0 | CA Independiente |
| 21/08/21 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Independiente | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Defensa y Justicia |
| 18/04/21 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | CA Independiente | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Defensa y Justicia |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 32 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 22 | 14 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 27 |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 10 | 24 |
| 6 | Newell's | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 21 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | CA Independiente | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 19 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 23 | 17 |
| 11 | Estudiantes LP | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 18 | 14 |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 14 |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 12 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 10 |
| 15 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Defensa y Justicia | CA Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| CA Talleres de Córdoba | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Instituto AC Cordoba | 0-1 L | 1-4 L |
| Union Santa Fe | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| San Lorenzo | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Central Cordoba | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Gimnasia Mendoza | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Lanus | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Defensa y Justicia (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Defensa y Justicia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 03/10 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/09 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/09 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 18/08 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
CA Independiente
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/10 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 12/10 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 03/10 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 19/09 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 31/08 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 17/08 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Defensa y Justicia vs CA Independiente?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Defensa y Justicia win (42%). Probabilities: Defensa y Justicia 42%, draw 31%, CA Independiente 27%.
How many goals are expected in Defensa y Justicia vs CA Independiente?
The model expects 2.27 goals (Defensa y Justicia 1.29 · CA Independiente 0.98), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Defensa y Justicia vs CA Independiente?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.