Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 03/11, 01:15
Prediction: Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield
Team pages: Independiente Rivadavia · Banfield
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Independiente Rivadavia1.85
Banfield0.78
1X2
Independiente Rivadavia
Draw
Banfield
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Independiente Rivadavia
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Banfield
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Independiente Rivadavia
0–2–4
Banfield
(6 last)
- Banfield0-0Independiente Rivadavia
- Independiente Rivadavia1-2Banfield
- Banfield1-1Independiente Rivadavia
- Banfield2-0Independiente Rivadavia
- Independiente Rivadavia1-2Banfield
- Independiente Rivadavia1-2Banfield
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Independiente Rivadavia 1498 · Banfield 1476
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Banfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 24% | 14% |
| Market | 62% | 24% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Banfield: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Independiente Rivadavia | Banfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.2 | 1.6 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Rivadavia 0–2–4 Banfield
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Banfield | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 18/10/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Independiente Rivadavia | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Banfield |
| 12/04/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Banfield | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 24/09/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Banfield | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 30/05/24 Argentina Cup | Independiente Rivadavia | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Banfield |
| 01/04/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Independiente Rivadavia | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Banfield |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 28 |
| 2 | Argentinos Jrs | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | Gimnasia LP | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 25 |
| 4 | River Plate | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 23 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 22 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 22 |
| 7 | Sarmiento | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 21 |
| 8 | Huracan | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 19 |
| 9 | Independiente Rivadavia | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 19 |
| 10 | Atlético Tucumán | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 17 |
| 11 | Banfield | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 14 |
| 12 | CA Tigre | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 13 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 12 |
| 14 | CA Aldosivi | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 11 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Independiente Rivadavia | Banfield |
|---|---|---|
| Argentinos Jrs | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| CA Tigre | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Rosario Central | 0-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Gimnasia LP | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Barracas Central | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| CA Aldosivi | 4-3 W | 1-3 L |
| River Plate | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Racing Club | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Independiente Rivadavia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 17/10 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-5 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 22/09 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
3-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 07/09 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 31/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Banfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 17/10 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 06/10 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 15/09 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 30/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Independiente Rivadavia win (62%). Probabilities: Independiente Rivadavia 62%, draw 24%, Banfield 14%.
How many goals are expected in Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Independiente Rivadavia 1.85 · Banfield 0.78), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.