Football · Panama Liga Prom · 31/07, 16:00
Prediction: Plaza Amador Reserves vs Alianza FC Reserves
Team pages: Plaza Amador Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.85Total
Plaza Amador Reserves2.52
Alianza FC Reserves1.33
1X2
Plaza Amador Reserves
Draw
Alianza FC Reserves
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Plaza Amador Reserves
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Alianza FC Reserves
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Plaza Amador Reserves
3–2–1
Alianza FC Reserves
(6 last)
- Plaza Amador Reserves1-1Alianza FC Reserves
- Alianza FC Reserves0-1Plaza Amador Reserves
- Plaza Amador Reserves5-1Alianza FC Reserves
- Alianza FC Reserves1-1Plaza Amador Reserves
- Plaza Amador Reserves0-1Alianza FC Reserves
- Alianza FC Reserves0-4Plaza Amador Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Plaza Amador Reserves 1576 · Alianza FC Reserves 1464
| Plaza Amador Reserves | Draw | Alianza FC Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 19% | 18% |
| Market | 61% | 22% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.85 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plaza Amador Reserves (rating 1576 vs 1464).
- H2H favours Plaza Amador Reserves: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Plaza Amador Reserves | Alianza FC Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 1.1 | 1.7 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/56/11% | 63/13/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.2 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Plaza Amador Reserves 3–2–1 Alianza FC Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Panama Liga Prom | Plaza Amador Reserves | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Alianza FC Reserves |
| 06/02/26 Panama Liga Prom | Alianza FC Reserves | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Plaza Amador Reserves |
| 17/10/25 Panama Liga Prom | Plaza Amador Reserves | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Alianza FC Reserves |
| 26/07/25 Panama Liga Prom | Alianza FC Reserves | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Plaza Amador Reserves |
| 09/05/25 Panama Liga Prom | Plaza Amador Reserves | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Alianza FC Reserves |
| 12/02/25 Panama Liga Prom | Alianza FC Reserves | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Plaza Amador Reserves |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chorrillo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Potros Del Este | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | San Martin FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 4 | Tauro FC Reserves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Plaza Amador Reserves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 6 | Alianza FC Reserves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Plaza Amador Reserves | Alianza FC Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Potros Del Este | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 4-4 D | 3-5 L |
| San Martin FC | 2-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Chorrillo | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Tauro FC Reserves | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Plaza Amador Reserves (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Plaza Amador Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
2-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 05/05 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 29/04 | San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 16/04 | Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 10/04 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 27/03 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
Alianza FC Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 30/04 | Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 24/04 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 17/04 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/04 | Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 01/04 | San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 11 | L |
| 26/03 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
1-2 | 2-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/03 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 07/03 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
2-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Plaza Amador Reserves vs Alianza FC Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Plaza Amador Reserves win (62%). Probabilities: Plaza Amador Reserves 62%, draw 21%, Alianza FC Reserves 17%.
How many goals are expected in Plaza Amador Reserves vs Alianza FC Reserves?
The model expects 3.85 goals (Plaza Amador Reserves 2.52 · Alianza FC Reserves 1.33), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Plaza Amador Reserves vs Alianza FC Reserves?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.