Football · Panama Liga Prom · 09/08, 01:15

Prediction: Panama City FC vs Academia Costa Del Este

Team pages: Panama City FC · Academia Costa Del Este

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Panama City FC1.26

Academia Costa Del Este1.57

1X2

30% 27% 44%

Panama City FC Draw Academia Costa Del Este

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Panama City FC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDLDWW

Academia Costa Del Este 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLDDWW

Head-to-head

Panama City FC 3–1–2 Academia Costa Del Este (6 last)

Academia Costa Del Este2-3Panama City FC
Panama City FC1-4Academia Costa Del Este
Academia Costa Del Este1-1Panama City FC
Panama City FC1-0Academia Costa Del Este
Panama City FC2-1Academia Costa Del Este
Academia Costa Del Este1-0Panama City FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Panama City FC 1561 · Academia Costa Del Este 1549

	Panama City FC	Draw	Academia Costa Del Este
Our model	29%	27%	43%
Market	30%	26%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Panama City FC: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Panama City FC	Academia Costa Del Este
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.9	2.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/33/0%	33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.6	4 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	5.3 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.40

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:30 +13’	3.00	3.40	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Panama City FC 3–1–2 Academia Costa Del Este

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	2-3 HT 1-1	Panama City FC
25/01/26 Panama Liga Prom	Panama City FC	1-4 HT 0-3	Academia Costa Del Este
19/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	1-1 HT 0-1	Panama City FC
27/07/25 Panama Liga Prom	Panama City FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Academia Costa Del Este
10/05/25 Panama Liga Prom	Panama City FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Academia Costa Del Este
16/02/25 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	1-0 HT 0-0	Panama City FC

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Panama City FC	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
2	Academia Costa Del Este	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
3	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	3	1	1	1	5	6	4
4	Champions FC Academy	3	1	0	2	5	6	3
5	UMECIT Reserves	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
6	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	2	0	0	2	0	2	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Panama City FC	Academia Costa Del Este
Champions FC Academy	2-0 W	1-0 W
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	1-0 W	0-0 D
UMECIT Reserves	0-2 L	2-1 W
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	2-0 W	2-0 W
Plaza Amador Reserves	2-1 W	1-1 D
Tauro FC Reserves	3-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Panama City FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Panama City FC

WWWWWDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
26/07	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
01/05	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
25/04	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	0-2	–	–	L
18/04	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
12/04	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-2	1	5	W
02/04	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	13	7	W
26/03	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-1	5-2	3	4	W
22/03	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
15/03	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-1	3	4	W

Academia Costa Del Este

WDLWWLDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/07	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
24/07	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
09/05	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-1	11	9	D
05/05	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	7	5	D
01/05	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	1-2	–	–	L
25/04	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	3-0	9-0	9	8	W
16/04	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	6	10	W
12/04	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-3	7	5	L
03/04	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
28/03	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-0	7	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Panama City FC vs Academia Costa Del Este?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Academia Costa Del Este win (44%). Probabilities: Panama City FC 30%, draw 27%, Academia Costa Del Este 44%.

How many goals are expected in Panama City FC vs Academia Costa Del Este?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Panama City FC 1.26 · Academia Costa Del Este 1.57), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Panama City FC vs Academia Costa Del Este?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.