Football · Panama Liga Prom · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: UMECIT Reserves vs CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Team pages: UMECIT Reserves · CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
UMECIT Reserves1.34
CD Arabe Unido Reserves1.52
1X2
UMECIT Reserves
Draw
CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
UMECIT Reserves
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
CD Arabe Unido Reserves
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UMECIT Reserves
0–1–5
CD Arabe Unido Reserves
(6 last)
- CD Arabe Unido Reserves3-2UMECIT Reserves
- UMECIT Reserves0-1CD Arabe Unido Reserves
- UMECIT Reserves1-3CD Arabe Unido Reserves
- CD Arabe Unido Reserves0-0UMECIT Reserves
- CD Arabe Unido Reserves3-0UMECIT Reserves
- UMECIT Reserves0-2CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UMECIT Reserves 1507 · CD Arabe Unido Reserves 1553
| UMECIT Reserves | Draw | CD Arabe Unido Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 27% | 40% |
| Market | 32% | 27% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Arabe Unido Reserves (rating 1507 vs 1553).
- H2H favours CD Arabe Unido Reserves: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UMECIT Reserves | CD Arabe Unido Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.6 | 2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/71/0% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 3.2 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.6 | 4.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · UMECIT Reserves 0–1–5 CD Arabe Unido Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Panama Liga Prom | CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 3-2 HT 1-1 | UMECIT Reserves |
| 01/02/26 Panama Liga Prom | UMECIT Reserves | 0-1 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves |
| 25/10/25 Panama Liga Prom | UMECIT Reserves | 1-3 HT 0-2 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves |
| 16/08/25 Panama Liga Prom | CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 0-0 HT 0-0 | UMECIT Reserves |
| 12/04/25 Panama Liga Prom | CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 3-0 HT 2-0 | UMECIT Reserves |
| 25/01/25 Panama Liga Prom | UMECIT Reserves | 0-2 HT 0-1 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panama City FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Academia Costa Del Este | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 4 | Champions FC Academy | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 5 | UMECIT Reserves | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 6 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UMECIT Reserves | CD Arabe Unido Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Panama City FC | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Champions FC Academy | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Plaza Amador Reserves | 3-3 D | 4-4 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: UMECIT Reserves (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UMECIT Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 02/04 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 9 | L |
| 28/03 | Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/03 | Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 13/03 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | D |
CD Arabe Unido Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 10 | D |
| 13/05 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
2-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UMECIT Reserves vs CD Arabe Unido Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Arabe Unido Reserves win (41%). Probabilities: UMECIT Reserves 32%, draw 27%, CD Arabe Unido Reserves 41%.
How many goals are expected in UMECIT Reserves vs CD Arabe Unido Reserves?
The model expects 2.86 goals (UMECIT Reserves 1.34 · CD Arabe Unido Reserves 1.52), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in UMECIT Reserves vs CD Arabe Unido Reserves?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.