Football · Panama Liga Prom · 09/08, 23:00
Prediction: Aguilas de la U vs SD Atletico Nacional
Team pages: Aguilas de la U · SD Atletico Nacional
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
Aguilas de la U1.65
SD Atletico Nacional1.19
1X2
Aguilas de la U
Draw
SD Atletico Nacional
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Aguilas de la U
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
SD Atletico Nacional
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aguilas de la U
1–4–1
SD Atletico Nacional
(6 last)
- Aguilas de la U0-0SD Atletico Nacional
- SD Atletico Nacional0-1Aguilas de la U
- SD Atletico Nacional2-1Aguilas de la U
- Aguilas de la U1-1SD Atletico Nacional
- SD Atletico Nacional1-1Aguilas de la U
- Aguilas de la U1-1SD Atletico Nacional
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aguilas de la U 1584 · SD Atletico Nacional 1530
| Aguilas de la U | Draw | SD Atletico Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 27% | 26% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aguilas de la U (rating 1584 vs 1530).
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aguilas de la U | SD Atletico Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.7 | 1.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/63/25% | 22/56/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.9 | 2.1 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.6 | 4.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aguilas de la U 1–4–1 SD Atletico Nacional
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Panama Liga Prom | Aguilas de la U | 0-0 HT 0-0 | SD Atletico Nacional |
| 30/01/26 Panama Liga Prom | SD Atletico Nacional | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Aguilas de la U |
| 06/04/25 Panama Liga Prom | SD Atletico Nacional | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Aguilas de la U |
| 19/01/25 Panama Liga Prom | Aguilas de la U | 1-1 HT 0-0 | SD Atletico Nacional |
| 16/04/23 Panama Liga Prom | SD Atletico Nacional | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Aguilas de la U |
| 30/01/23 Panama Liga Prom | Aguilas de la U | 1-1 HT 1-1 | SD Atletico Nacional |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Udelas FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | SD Atletico Nacional | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Aguilas de la U | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | San Francisco Reserves | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 6 | Union Cocle Reserves | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aguilas de la U | SD Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | 0-1 L | 4-3 W |
| Union Cocle Reserves | 5-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Herrera FC Reserves | 5-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Udelas FC | 2-2 D | 3-3 D |
| San Francisco Reserves | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Aguilas de la U (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aguilas de la U
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
2-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 06/05 | CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 13 | D |
| 18/04 | Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 04/04 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
SD Atletico Nacional
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 17/04 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 10/04 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 4-3 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 01/04 | Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/03 | Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Bocas Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 13/03 | La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aguilas de la U vs SD Atletico Nacional?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aguilas de la U win (47%). Probabilities: Aguilas de la U 47%, draw 27%, SD Atletico Nacional 26%.
How many goals are expected in Aguilas de la U vs SD Atletico Nacional?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Aguilas de la U 1.65 · SD Atletico Nacional 1.19), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Aguilas de la U vs SD Atletico Nacional?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.