Football · Panama Liga Prom · 08/08, 23:00

Prediction: Herrera FC Reserves vs Bocas

Team pages: Herrera FC Reserves · Bocas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.95Total

Herrera FC Reserves0.97

Bocas2.97

1X2

7% 12% 80%

Herrera FC Reserves Draw Bocas

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

Herrera FC Reserves 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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Bocas 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Herrera FC Reserves 1–1–4 Bocas (6 last)

Bocas4-1Herrera FC Reserves
Herrera FC Reserves1-3Bocas
Herrera FC Reserves0-8Bocas
Herrera FC Reserves0-1Bocas
Herrera FC Reserves1-1Bocas
Herrera FC Reserves1-0Bocas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Herrera FC Reserves 1383 · Bocas 1534

	Herrera FC Reserves	Draw	Bocas
Our model	9%	14%	77%
Market	6%	11%	83%

Estimated total (ours) 3.95 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bocas (rating 1383 vs 1534).
H2H favours Bocas: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 12.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Herrera FC Reserves	Bocas
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2.5	2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/80/20%	22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.6	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0	7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

115.00

X8.50

21.13

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.75)1.82

2 (-2.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 41.98

Under 41.82

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00
X	9.00 → 8.50▼	Bet365 8.50
2	1.10 → 1.13▲	Bet365 1.13

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:59 +2’	15.00	9.00	1.10
03:52 +8’	15.00	8.50▼	1.13▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Herrera FC Reserves 1–1–4 Bocas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	Bocas	4-1 HT 1-1	Herrera FC Reserves
07/02/26 Panama Liga Prom	Herrera FC Reserves	1-3 HT 1-2	Bocas
01/11/25 Panama Liga Prom	Herrera FC Reserves	0-8 HT 0-5	Bocas
18/01/25 Panama Liga Prom	Herrera FC Reserves	0-1 HT 0-0	Bocas
05/10/24 Panama Liga Prom	Herrera FC Reserves	1-1 HT 0-0	Bocas
19/01/24 Panama Liga Prom	Herrera FC Reserves	1-0 HT 1-0	Bocas

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Universitario Reserves	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
2	Rayados de Chiriqui	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
3	Bocas	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
4	La Familia FC	3	0	2	1	3	4	2
5	Veraguas United Reserves	3	0	1	2	3	5	1
6	Herrera FC Reserves	2	0	0	2	1	4	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Herrera FC Reserves	Bocas
CD Universitario Reserves	1-3 L	0-2 L
Rayados de Chiriqui	0-1 L	0-1 L
Aguilas de la U	0-5 L	1-4 L
La Familia FC	3-1 W	1-1 D
Veraguas United Reserves	0-3 L	2-1 W
SD Atletico Nacional	0-2 L	2-0 W
San Francisco Reserves	0-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 6 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Bocas (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Herrera FC Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-3	1	6	L
25/07	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
02/05	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	–	0-5	–	–	L
26/04	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-4	2	3	L
18/04	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	–	3-1	–	–	W
12/04	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-3	0	9	L
02/04	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	0-3	–	–	L
27/03	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
21/03	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	0-2	–	–	L
14/03	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	1-1	–	–	D

Bocas

LWLLWLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-0	2-1	2	12	W
26/07	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-1	3	10	D
01/05	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
26/04	Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	4-1	3	3	W
18/04	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/04	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	2-0	7-0	10	9	W
05/04	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	3	9	L
29/03	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-4	4	6	L
22/03	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-0	4	7	W
13/03	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-3	1-3	4	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Herrera FC Reserves vs Bocas?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bocas win (80%). Probabilities: Herrera FC Reserves 7%, draw 12%, Bocas 80%.

How many goals are expected in Herrera FC Reserves vs Bocas?

The model expects 3.95 goals (Herrera FC Reserves 0.97 · Bocas 2.97), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Herrera FC Reserves vs Bocas?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.