Football · Panama Liga Prom · 07/08, 23:00
Prediction: San Francisco Reserves vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Team pages: San Francisco Reserves · CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
San Francisco Reserves1.23
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves1.56
1X2
San Francisco Reserves
Draw
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
San Francisco Reserves
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Francisco Reserves
0–2–4
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
(6 last)
- CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves0-0San Francisco Reserves
- San Francisco Reserves1-1CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
- CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves1-0San Francisco Reserves
- San Francisco Reserves1-3CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
- San Francisco Reserves2-3CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
- CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves1-0San Francisco Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Francisco Reserves 1449 · CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 1551
| San Francisco Reserves | Draw | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| Market | 30% | 26% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves (rating 1449 vs 1551).
- H2H favours CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Francisco Reserves | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/13/50% | 14/43/43% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.9 | 3 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.4 | 6.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Francisco Reserves 0–2–4 CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Panama Liga Prom | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | 0-0 | San Francisco Reserves |
| 11/02/26 Panama Liga Prom | San Francisco Reserves | 1-1 HT 1-0 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves |
| 26/10/25 Panama Liga Prom | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Francisco Reserves |
| 08/08/25 Panama Liga Prom | San Francisco Reserves | 1-3 HT 0-2 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves |
| 03/05/25 Panama Liga Prom | San Francisco Reserves | 2-3 HT 2-2 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves |
| 07/02/25 Panama Liga Prom | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Francisco Reserves |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Udelas FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | SD Atletico Nacional | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Aguilas de la U | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | San Francisco Reserves | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 6 | Union Cocle Reserves | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Francisco Reserves | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Udelas FC | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| SD Atletico Nacional | 2-3 L | 3-4 L |
| Union Cocle Reserves | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Aguilas de la U | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| CD Universitario Reserves | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| Herrera FC Reserves | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Francisco Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 25/07 | SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 30/04 | Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 05/04 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 28/03 | CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 21/03 | Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/03 | Bocas Panama Liga Prom |
3-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 25/04 | Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 10/04 | SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 04/04 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/03 | CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 14/03 | Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Francisco Reserves vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves win (44%). Probabilities: San Francisco Reserves 29%, draw 26%, CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 44%.
How many goals are expected in San Francisco Reserves vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves?
The model expects 2.8 goals (San Francisco Reserves 1.23 · CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 1.56), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in San Francisco Reserves vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.