Prediction: SD Atletico Nacional vs Union Cocle Reserves
Team pages: SD Atletico Nacional
- Union Cocle Reserves2-3SD Atletico Nacional
- SD Atletico Nacional3-1Union Cocle Reserves
| SD Atletico Nacional | Draw | Union Cocle Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 21% | 17% |
| Market | 62% | 22% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SD Atletico Nacional (rating 1551 vs 1455).
- H2H favours SD Atletico Nacional: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SD Atletico Nacional | Union Cocle Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/56/22% | 13/75/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5 | 2.3 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SD Atletico Nacional 2–0–0 Union Cocle Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/26 Panama Liga Prom | Union Cocle Reserves | 2-3 | SD Atletico Nacional |
| 16/01/26 Panama Liga Prom | SD Atletico Nacional | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Union Cocle Reserves |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguilas de la U | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | SD Atletico Nacional | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | San Francisco Reserves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 5 | Udelas FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 6 | Union Cocle Reserves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SD Atletico Nacional | Union Cocle Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Reserves | 3-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Aguilas de la U | 0-0 D | 1-5 L |
| Udelas FC | 3-3 D | 0-1 L |
| CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | 4-3 W | 0-1 L |
| Herrera FC Reserves | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Veraguas United Reserves | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: SD Atletico Nacional (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SD Atletico Nacional
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 17/04 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 10/04 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 4-3 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 01/04 | Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/03 | Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Bocas Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 13/03 | La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/03 | Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
3-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
Union Cocle Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 30/04 | San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 01/04 | SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 27/03 | Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 19/03 | Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 11/03 | CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 05/03 | Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SD Atletico Nacional vs Union Cocle Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SD Atletico Nacional win (62%). Probabilities: SD Atletico Nacional 62%, draw 21%, Union Cocle Reserves 17%.
How many goals are expected in SD Atletico Nacional vs Union Cocle Reserves?
The model expects 3.47 goals (SD Atletico Nacional 2.32 · Union Cocle Reserves 1.15), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in SD Atletico Nacional vs Union Cocle Reserves?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.