Football · Panama Liga Prom · 01/08, 16:00

Prediction: Udelas FC vs San Francisco Reserves

Team pages: Udelas FC · San Francisco Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Udelas FC1.77

San Francisco Reserves1.2

1X2

49% 27% 24%

Udelas FC Draw San Francisco Reserves

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Udelas FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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San Francisco Reserves 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Udelas FC 1–5 San Francisco Reserves (6 last)

Udelas FC2-0San Francisco Reserves
San Francisco Reserves5-0Udelas FC
San Francisco Reserves2-0Udelas FC
Udelas FC1-6San Francisco Reserves
Udelas FC0-1San Francisco Reserves
San Francisco Reserves1-0Udelas FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Udelas FC 1530 · San Francisco Reserves 1502

	Udelas FC	Draw	San Francisco Reserves
Our model	50%	26%	25%
Market	49%	27%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours San Francisco Reserves: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 12.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Udelas FC	San Francisco Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.4	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/33/11%	38/25/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.3	1.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.7 / 0.3	6.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.25

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
22:12 +3’	1.83	3.25	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Udelas FC 1–0–5 San Francisco Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	Udelas FC	2-0 HT 2-0	San Francisco Reserves
17/01/26 Panama Liga Prom	San Francisco Reserves	5-0 HT 4-0	Udelas FC
18/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	San Francisco Reserves	2-0 HT 1-0	Udelas FC
20/07/25 Panama Liga Prom	Udelas FC	1-6 HT 1-3	San Francisco Reserves
27/04/25 Panama Liga Prom	Udelas FC	0-1 HT 0-0	San Francisco Reserves
31/01/25 Panama Liga Prom	San Francisco Reserves	1-0 HT 0-0	Udelas FC

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aguilas de la U	1	1	0	5	1	3
2	SD Atletico Nacional	1	1	0	3	2	3
3	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	1	1	0	2	1	3
4	San Francisco Reserves	1	0	1	2	3	0
5	Udelas FC	1	0	1	1	2	0
6	Union Cocle Reserves	1	0	1	1	5	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Udelas FC	San Francisco Reserves
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	1-2 L	0-0 D
CD Universitario Reserves	2-1 W	0-1 L
Aguilas de la U	2-2 D	1-3 L
SD Atletico Nacional	3-3 D	2-3 L
Union Cocle Reserves	1-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Udelas FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Udelas FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-2	4	7	L
22/05	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-1	2-2	6	10	D
15/05	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	4	8	W
10/05	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	–	0-1	–	–	L
07/05	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-1	5	3	W
02/05	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-2	2-2	2	8	D
26/04	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-2	2	13	D
17/04	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	3-0	3-3	6	4	D
11/04	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
05/04	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-0	2-0	4	7	W

San Francisco Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-3	5	4	L
30/04	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-3	3	6	L
25/04	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	2-0	3-1	7	2	W
18/04	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/04	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-3	4	9	L
05/04	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	0-2	0-2	3	7	L
28/03	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	3	7	L
21/03	Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	2-0	–	–	W
13/03	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	3-1	3-1	2	8	W
05/03	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	5	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Udelas FC vs San Francisco Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Udelas FC win (49%). Probabilities: Udelas FC 49%, draw 27%, San Francisco Reserves 24%.

How many goals are expected in Udelas FC vs San Francisco Reserves?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Udelas FC 1.77 · San Francisco Reserves 1.2), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Udelas FC vs San Francisco Reserves?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.