Football · Panama Liga Prom · 01/08, 23:00
Prediction: CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves vs Aguilas de la U
Team pages: CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves1.5
Aguilas de la U1.58
1X2
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
Draw
Aguilas de la U
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Aguilas de la U
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
3–1–2
Aguilas de la U
(6 last)
- CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves0-1Aguilas de la U
- Aguilas de la U2-2CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
- CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves2-1Aguilas de la U
- Aguilas de la U0-2CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
- Aguilas de la U1-0CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
- CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves1-0Aguilas de la U
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 1527 · Aguilas de la U 1591
| CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | Draw | Aguilas de la U | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 26% | 39% |
| Market | 35% | 26% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aguilas de la U (rating 1527 vs 1591).
- H2H favours CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | Aguilas de la U | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 2.3 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/29/43% | 13/63/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.4 | 2.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 0.3 | 6 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 3–1–2 Aguilas de la U
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Panama Liga Prom | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | 0-1 | Aguilas de la U |
| 18/01/26 Panama Liga Prom | Aguilas de la U | 2-2 HT 1-0 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves |
| 16/10/25 Panama Liga Prom | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Aguilas de la U |
| 19/07/25 Panama Liga Prom | Aguilas de la U | 0-2 HT 0-1 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves |
| 26/04/25 Panama Liga Prom | Aguilas de la U | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves |
| 31/01/25 Panama Liga Prom | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Aguilas de la U |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguilas de la U | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | SD Atletico Nacional | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | San Francisco Reserves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 5 | Udelas FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 6 | Union Cocle Reserves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | Aguilas de la U |
|---|---|---|
| Udelas FC | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Union Cocle Reserves | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| San Francisco Reserves | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| SD Atletico Nacional | 3-4 L | 0-0 D |
| CD Universitario Reserves | 3-3 D | 0-0 D |
| Herrera FC Reserves | 1-1 D | 5-0 W |
| Bocas | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 1 L | 4 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Aguilas de la U (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 25/04 | Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 10/04 | SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 04/04 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/03 | CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 14/03 | Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/03 | Bocas Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
Aguilas de la U
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
2-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 06/05 | CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 13 | D |
| 18/04 | Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 04/04 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/03 | Bocas Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves vs Aguilas de la U?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Aguilas de la U win (39%). Probabilities: CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 35%, draw 26%, Aguilas de la U 39%.
How many goals are expected in CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves vs Aguilas de la U?
The model expects 3.08 goals (CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves 1.5 · Aguilas de la U 1.58), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves vs Aguilas de la U?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.