Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 01/08, 03:00
Prediction: Cruz Azul (W) vs Atlas (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.86Total
Cruz Azul (W)2.93
Atlas (W)0.93
1X2
Cruz Azul (W)
Draw
Atlas (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Cruz Azul (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Atlas (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cruz Azul (W)
3–3–0
Atlas (W)
(6 last)
- Atlas (W)4-6Cruz Azul (W)
- Cruz Azul (W)4-0Atlas (W)
- Atlas (W)1-1Cruz Azul (W)
- Cruz Azul (W)0-0Atlas (W)
- Atlas (W)1-1Cruz Azul (W)
- Cruz Azul (W)2-0Atlas (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cruz Azul (W) 1550 · Atlas (W) 1435
| Cruz Azul (W) | Draw | Atlas (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 78% | 15% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.86 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cruz Azul (W) (rating 1550 vs 1435).
- H2H favours Cruz Azul (W): 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cruz Azul (W) | Atlas (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/0/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6 | 1.6 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cruz Azul (W) 3–3–0 Atlas (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atlas (W) | 4-6 HT 2-3 | Cruz Azul (W) |
| 19/07/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Cruz Azul (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Atlas (W) |
| 01/02/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atlas (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cruz Azul (W) |
| 28/07/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Cruz Azul (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atlas (W) |
| 04/05/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atlas (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Cruz Azul (W) |
| 11/09/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Cruz Azul (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Atlas (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Liga MX, Women 26/27, Apertura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlas (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pachuca (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Club America (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Necaxa (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Puebla (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tijuana (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Unam Pumas (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cruz Azul (W) | Atlas (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Monterrey (W) | 0-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Puebla (W) | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Santos Laguna (W) | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Necaxa (W) | 3-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cruz Azul (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cruz Azul (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/04 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 05/04 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 02/04 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 28/03 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Mazatlan FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 18/03 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 12/03 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 21/02 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-2 | 6-4 | 7 | 5 | W |
Atlas (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 02/04 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 24/03 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/03 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 13/03 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 21/02 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/02 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/02 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cruz Azul (W) vs Atlas (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cruz Azul (W) win (78%). Probabilities: Cruz Azul (W) 78%, draw 14%, Atlas (W) 8%.
How many goals are expected in Cruz Azul (W) vs Atlas (W)?
The model expects 3.86 goals (Cruz Azul (W) 2.93 · Atlas (W) 0.93), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cruz Azul (W) vs Atlas (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.