Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 02/08, 01:00
Prediction: Juarez FC (W) vs Pachuca (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
Juarez FC (W)1.41
Pachuca (W)1.73
1X2
Juarez FC (W)
Draw
Pachuca (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Juarez FC (W)
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Pachuca (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Juarez FC (W)
1–1–4
Pachuca (W)
(6 last)
- Pachuca (W)3-0Juarez FC (W)
- Juarez FC (W)2-3Pachuca (W)
- Pachuca (W)6-1Juarez FC (W)
- Pachuca (W)2-1Juarez FC (W)
- Juarez FC (W)1-0Pachuca (W)
- Juarez FC (W)0-0Pachuca (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juarez FC (W) 1512 · Pachuca (W) 1552
| Juarez FC (W) | Draw | Pachuca (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 25% | 44% |
| Market | 30% | 27% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pachuca (W) (rating 1512 vs 1552).
- H2H favours Pachuca (W): 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Juarez FC (W) | Pachuca (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.8 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5 | 2.6 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 1.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juarez FC (W) 1–1–4 Pachuca (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Juarez FC (W) |
| 06/09/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Juarez FC (W) | 2-3 HT 2-3 | Pachuca (W) |
| 11/02/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 6-1 HT 4-0 | Juarez FC (W) |
| 11/11/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Juarez FC (W) |
| 08/11/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Juarez FC (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Pachuca (W) |
| 08/09/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Juarez FC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Pachuca (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Liga MX, Women 26/27, Apertura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlas (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pachuca (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Club America (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Necaxa (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Puebla (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tijuana (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Unam Pumas (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Juarez FC (W) | Pachuca (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Club America (W) | 2-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Monterrey (W) | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Santos Laguna (W) | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Juarez FC (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juarez FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 30/04 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 21/04 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 06/04 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 02/04 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 30/03 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/03 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 23/02 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
Pachuca (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) CONCACAF Women Champions Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 21/05 | Washington Spirit (W) CONCACAF Women Champions Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 1 | L |
| 11/05 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/05 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 06/04 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-1 | 5-4 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 22/03 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juarez FC (W) vs Pachuca (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Pachuca (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Juarez FC (W) 30%, draw 26%, Pachuca (W) 44%.
How many goals are expected in Juarez FC (W) vs Pachuca (W)?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Juarez FC (W) 1.41 · Pachuca (W) 1.73), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Juarez FC (W) vs Pachuca (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.