Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 03/08, 01:06
Prediction: Chivas Guadalajara (W) vs Queretaro (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
Chivas Guadalajara (W)2.34
Queretaro (W)0.73
1X2
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Draw
Queretaro (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Queretaro (W)
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
4–2–0
Queretaro (W)
(6 last)
- Chivas Guadalajara (W)2-0Queretaro (W)
- Queretaro (W)0-1Chivas Guadalajara (W)
- Queretaro (W)1-1Chivas Guadalajara (W)
- Chivas Guadalajara (W)0-0Queretaro (W)
- Queretaro (W)1-2Chivas Guadalajara (W)
- Chivas Guadalajara (W)3-1Queretaro (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chivas Guadalajara (W) 1528 · Queretaro (W) 1408
| Chivas Guadalajara (W) | Draw | Queretaro (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 18% | 9% |
| Market | 74% | 16% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chivas Guadalajara (W) (rating 1528 vs 1408).
- H2H favours Chivas Guadalajara (W): 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chivas Guadalajara (W) | Queretaro (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3 | 1.8 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chivas Guadalajara (W) 4–2–0 Queretaro (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Queretaro (W) |
| 18/07/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) |
| 14/03/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) |
| 13/08/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Queretaro (W) |
| 02/02/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Queretaro (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) |
| 10/09/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Queretaro (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Liga MX, Women 26/27, Apertura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pachuca (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Club America (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Necaxa (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Puebla (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tijuana (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Unam Pumas (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Atlas (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | Queretaro (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Juarez FC (W) | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Tigres UANL (W) | 2-2 D | 0-6 L |
| Mazatlan FC (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Tijuana (W) | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Club America (W) | 3-2 W | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Chivas Guadalajara (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/05 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 21/04 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 06/04 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 03/04 | Mazatlan FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 30/03 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 21/03 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 15/03 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 11/03 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 3-2 | 0 | 7 | W |
Queretaro (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/04 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 01/04 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 30/03 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 22/03 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 16/03 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 0-6 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 13/03 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/02 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/02 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/02 | Mazatlan FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chivas Guadalajara (W) vs Queretaro (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chivas Guadalajara (W) win (73%). Probabilities: Chivas Guadalajara (W) 73%, draw 17%, Queretaro (W) 10%.
How many goals are expected in Chivas Guadalajara (W) vs Queretaro (W)?
The model expects 3.07 goals (Chivas Guadalajara (W) 2.34 · Queretaro (W) 0.73), with a 57% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Chivas Guadalajara (W) vs Queretaro (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.