Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 15/08, 23:45

Prediction: Club America (W) vs Puebla (W)

Team pages: Club America (W) · Puebla (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
5.34Total
Club America (W)3.67
Puebla (W)1.67
1X2
86% 7% 6%
Club America (W) Draw Puebla (W)
Markets
Under 5.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 64%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
Club America (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
WWWLWWWDWW
Puebla (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLLDDWLL
Head-to-head
Club America (W) 5–1–0 Puebla (W) (6 last)
  • Puebla (W)0-3Club America (W)
  • Club America (W)3-0Puebla (W)
  • Club America (W)7-0Puebla (W)
  • Puebla (W)0-0Club America (W)
  • Club America (W)4-1Puebla (W)
  • Puebla (W)1-6Club America (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club America (W) 1640 · Puebla (W) 1403
Club America (W)DrawPuebla (W)
Our model74%13%13%
Market97%2%1%
Estimated total (ours) 5.34 goals · Bet365 line 6.25 · -0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 90%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club America (W) (rating 1640 vs 1403).
  • H2H favours Club America (W): 5-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Club America (W)Puebla (W)
Goals for / against (FT)4 / 1.20.7 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.8 / 0.70.4 / 2.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/10/20%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)3.6 / 5.72.3 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.12.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Club America (W) 510 Puebla (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/03/26
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Puebla (W)0-3
HT 0-3
Club America (W)
14/08/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Club America (W)3-0
HT 2-0
Puebla (W)
12/03/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Club America (W)7-0
HT 4-0
Puebla (W)
18/08/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Puebla (W)0-0
HT 0-0
Club America (W)
08/03/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Club America (W)4-1
HT 2-1
Puebla (W)
15/10/23
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Puebla (W)1-6
HT 0-4
Club America (W)

Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club America (W) 2200 1306
2 Chivas Guadalajara (W) 2200 726
3 Unam Pumas (W) 2101 463
4 Atletico San Luis (W) 2101 353
5 Pachuca (W) 2011 121
6 Atlas (W) 2011 241
7 Tijuana (W) 2002 240
8 Necaxa (W) 2002 130
9 Puebla (W) 2002 1120

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentClub America (W)Puebla (W)
Cruz Azul (W) 10-0 W 0-4 L
Tigres UANL (W) 1-1 D 0-8 L
Juarez FC (W) 3-2 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Club America (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club America (W)

WWWLWWWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Cruz Azul (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
4-0 10-0 41 W
04/08 Santos Laguna (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-0 3-0 125 W
27/07 Tigres UANL (W)
Mexico Champions of Champions Women
1-0 1-1 35 D
24/05 Washington Spirit (W)
CONCACAF Women Champions Cup
2-1 5-3 35 W
21/05 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
CONCACAF Women Champions Cup
1-0 4-1 63 W
17/05 Monterrey (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 3-0 41 W
15/05 Monterrey (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-1 54 L
10/05 Toluca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-3 4-3 71 W
08/05 Toluca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
4-1 7-1 71 W
02/05 Juarez FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 3-2 65 W

Puebla (W)

LLLLLDDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-2 1-4 22 L
02/08 Tigres UANL (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-6 0-8 00 L
25/04 Necaxa (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-1 3-2 75 W
05/04 Unam Pumas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 2-2 42 D
01/04 Queretaro (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-0 105 D
28/03 Cruz Azul (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-3 0-4 43 L
22/03 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-3 0-3 43 L
15/03 Juarez FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-2 0-2 21 L
12/03 Atletico San Luis (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-2 0-2 57 L
22/02 Mazatlan FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 1-2 41 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club America (W) vs Puebla (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club America (W) win (86%). Probabilities: Club America (W) 86%, draw 7%, Puebla (W) 6%.

How many goals are expected in Club America (W) vs Puebla (W)?

The model expects 5.34 goals (Club America (W) 3.67 · Puebla (W) 1.67), with a 58% chance of under 6.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Club America (W) vs Puebla (W)?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.