Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 23/08, 20:00
Prediction: Puebla (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W)
Team pages: Puebla (W) · Atletico San Luis (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
Puebla (W)1.15
Atletico San Luis (W)2.17
1X2
Puebla (W)
Draw
Atletico San Luis (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Puebla (W)
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Atletico San Luis (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puebla (W)
0–3–3
Atletico San Luis (W)
(6 last)
- Atletico San Luis (W)2-0Puebla (W)
- Puebla (W)0-6Atletico San Luis (W)
- Atletico San Luis (W)1-0Puebla (W)
- Puebla (W)2-2Atletico San Luis (W)
- Atletico San Luis (W)2-2Puebla (W)
- Puebla (W)2-2Atletico San Luis (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puebla (W) 1405 · Atletico San Luis (W) 1540
| Puebla (W) | Draw | Atletico San Luis (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 22% | 60% |
| Market | 17% | 25% | 58% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico San Luis (W) (rating 1405 vs 1540).
- H2H favours Atletico San Luis (W): 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Puebla (W) | Atletico San Luis (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 3.2 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 2.3 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.8 | 2.9 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puebla (W) 0–3–3 Atletico San Luis (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atletico San Luis (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Puebla (W) |
| 31/08/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 0-6 HT 0-2 | Atletico San Luis (W) |
| 18/04/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atletico San Luis (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Puebla (W) |
| 01/09/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Atletico San Luis (W) |
| 29/04/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atletico San Luis (W) | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Puebla (W) |
| 04/09/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Puebla (W) | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Atletico San Luis (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Unam Pumas (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 6 |
| 4 | Pachuca (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Tijuana (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| 6 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 7 | Atlas (W) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 8 | Necaxa (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 9 | Puebla (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Puebla (W) | Atletico San Luis (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 1-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Tigres UANL (W) | 0-8 L | 0-2 L |
| Necaxa (W) | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Cruz Azul (W) | 0-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico San Luis (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puebla (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 1-5 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-6 | 0-8 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 01/04 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 28/03 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/03 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/03 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 12/03 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
Atletico San Luis (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/08 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 03/08 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Mazatlan FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 02/04 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 3-2 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 29/03 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 23/03 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 15/03 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 12/03 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puebla (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Atletico San Luis (W) win (59%). Probabilities: Puebla (W) 18%, draw 24%, Atletico San Luis (W) 59%.
How many goals are expected in Puebla (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W)?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Puebla (W) 1.15 · Atletico San Luis (W) 2.17), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Puebla (W) vs Atletico San Luis (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.