Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 25/08, 03:00

Prediction: Atlas (W) vs Tijuana (W)

Team pages: Atlas (W) · Tijuana (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
Atlas (W)1.54
Tijuana (W)1.57
1X2
36% 27% 37%
Atlas (W) Draw Tijuana (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Atlas (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LWLLWLDLLD
Tijuana (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LWWDLWWLLW
Head-to-head
Atlas (W) 2–2–2 Tijuana (W) (6 last)
  • Atlas (W)1-2Tijuana (W)
  • Tijuana (W)2-2Atlas (W)
  • Tijuana (W)0-1Atlas (W)
  • Atlas (W)3-1Tijuana (W)
  • Atlas (W)0-4Tijuana (W)
  • Tijuana (W)1-1Atlas (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atlas (W) 1435 · Tijuana (W) 1521
Atlas (W)DrawTijuana (W)
Our model36%26%38%
Market36%27%37%
Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tijuana (W) (rating 1435 vs 1521).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Atlas (W)Tijuana (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 2.42.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.81 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 2.91.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.33.7 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlas (W) 222 Tijuana (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/01/26
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Atlas (W)1-2
HT 0-0
Tijuana (W)
01/08/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Tijuana (W)2-2
HT 1-1
Atlas (W)
19/04/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Tijuana (W)0-1
HT 0-0
Atlas (W)
17/08/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Atlas (W)3-1
HT 1-0
Tijuana (W)
09/02/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Atlas (W)0-4
HT 0-3
Tijuana (W)
18/09/23
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Tijuana (W)1-1
HT 0-0
Atlas (W)

Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club America (W) 3300 1819
2 Chivas Guadalajara (W) 3300 1039
3 Unam Pumas (W) 4202 1096
4 Pachuca (W) 3111 434
5 Tijuana (W) 3102 753
6 Atletico San Luis (W) 3102 483
7 Atlas (W) 3021 352
8 Necaxa (W) 3003 280
9 Puebla (W) 3003 2170

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAtlas (W)Tijuana (W)
Necaxa (W) 3-2 W 5-1 W
Monterrey (W) 0-3 L 1-2 L
Queretaro (W) 1-0 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tijuana (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atlas (W)

LWLLWLDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/08 Toluca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 1-1 13 D
01/08 Cruz Azul (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 1-3 23 L
25/04 Juarez FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 1-2 63 L
06/04 Santos Laguna (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 1-1 00 D
02/04 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-2 12 L
28/03 Necaxa (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-0 3-2 64 W
24/03 Leon (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-4 34 L
17/03 Monterrey (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-3 15 L
13/03 Queretaro (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 1-0 63 W
21/02 Cruz Azul (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-3 4-6 35 L

Tijuana (W)

LWWDLWWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Necaxa (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
5-1 5-1 14 W
10/08 Atletico San Luis (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-2 1-2 97 L
02/08 Monterrey (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 1-2 21 L
25/04 Mazatlan FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 2-0 50 W
06/04 Necaxa (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 6-1 87 W
03/04 Tigres UANL (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-2 67 L
30/03 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 1-1 32 D
22/03 Queretaro (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 3-0 56 W
18/03 Unam Pumas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 2-1 26 W
13/03 Pachuca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-2 0-2 22 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atlas (W) vs Tijuana (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tijuana (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Atlas (W) 36%, draw 27%, Tijuana (W) 37%.

How many goals are expected in Atlas (W) vs Tijuana (W)?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Atlas (W) 1.54 · Tijuana (W) 1.57), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Atlas (W) vs Tijuana (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.