Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 24/08, 00:00
Prediction: Pachuca (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Team pages: Pachuca (W) · Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
Pachuca (W)1.79
Chivas Guadalajara (W)1.26
1X2
Pachuca (W)
Draw
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Pachuca (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pachuca (W)
3–2–1
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
(6 last)
- Pachuca (W)2-0Chivas Guadalajara (W)
- Chivas Guadalajara (W)2-1Pachuca (W)
- Chivas Guadalajara (W)1-1Pachuca (W)
- Pachuca (W)2-1Chivas Guadalajara (W)
- Pachuca (W)1-0Chivas Guadalajara (W)
- Chivas Guadalajara (W)3-3Pachuca (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pachuca (W) 1519 · Chivas Guadalajara (W) 1544
| Pachuca (W) | Draw | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| Market | 48% | 26% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Pachuca (W): 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pachuca (W) | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.8 | 1.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5 | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pachuca (W) 3–2–1 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) |
| 01/05/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Pachuca (W) |
| 15/03/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Pachuca (W) |
| 20/10/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) |
| 14/04/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) |
| 23/09/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Pachuca (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Unam Pumas (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 6 |
| 4 | Pachuca (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Tijuana (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| 6 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 7 | Atlas (W) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 8 | Necaxa (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 9 | Puebla (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pachuca (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/05 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 06/04 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-1 | 5-4 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 22/03 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/08 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/05 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 21/04 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 06/04 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 03/04 | Mazatlan FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 30/03 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pachuca (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pachuca (W) win (48%). Probabilities: Pachuca (W) 48%, draw 26%, Chivas Guadalajara (W) 26%.
How many goals are expected in Pachuca (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara (W)?
The model expects 3.05 goals (Pachuca (W) 1.79 · Chivas Guadalajara (W) 1.26), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Pachuca (W) vs Chivas Guadalajara (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.