Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 23/08, 02:00
Prediction: Cruz Azul (W) vs Tigres UANL (W)
Team pages: Cruz Azul (W) · Tigres UANL (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.43Total
Cruz Azul (W)1.16
Tigres UANL (W)2.27
1X2
Cruz Azul (W)
Draw
Tigres UANL (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Cruz Azul (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Tigres UANL (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cruz Azul (W)
0–2–4
Tigres UANL (W)
(6 last)
- Tigres UANL (W)4-2Cruz Azul (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)2-1Cruz Azul (W)
- Cruz Azul (W)1-1Tigres UANL (W)
- Cruz Azul (W)2-2Tigres UANL (W)
- Cruz Azul (W)1-2Tigres UANL (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)2-0Cruz Azul (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cruz Azul (W) 1515 · Tigres UANL (W) 1564
| Cruz Azul (W) | Draw | Tigres UANL (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 21% | 61% |
| Market | 18% | 21% | 62% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigres UANL (W) (rating 1515 vs 1564).
- H2H favours Tigres UANL (W): 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cruz Azul (W) | Tigres UANL (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.1 | 2.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.7 | 2.8 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cruz Azul (W) 0–2–4 Tigres UANL (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 4-2 HT 3-2 | Cruz Azul (W) |
| 17/11/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Cruz Azul (W) |
| 14/11/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Cruz Azul (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 01/11/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Cruz Azul (W) | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 05/02/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Cruz Azul (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 27/09/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Cruz Azul (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tigres UANL (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Monterrey (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Toluca (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Leon (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
| 6 | Juarez FC (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Atlante (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 9 | Queretaro (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cruz Azul (W) | Tigres UANL (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Club America (W) | 0-10 L | 0-1 L |
| Monterrey (W) | 0-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Toluca (W) | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Atletico San Luis (W) | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Puebla (W) | 4-0 W | 8-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tigres UANL (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cruz Azul (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-4 | 0-10 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/04 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 05/04 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 02/04 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 28/03 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Mazatlan FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
Tigres UANL (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 11/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
6-0 | 8-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 04/05 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 06/04 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 03/04 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 26/03 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 23/03 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cruz Azul (W) vs Tigres UANL (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tigres UANL (W) win (61%). Probabilities: Cruz Azul (W) 18%, draw 21%, Tigres UANL (W) 61%.
How many goals are expected in Cruz Azul (W) vs Tigres UANL (W)?
The model expects 3.43 goals (Cruz Azul (W) 1.16 · Tigres UANL (W) 2.27), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cruz Azul (W) vs Tigres UANL (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.