Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 24/08, 02:06

Prediction: Necaxa (W) vs Club America (W)

Team pages: Necaxa (W) · Club America (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.93Total
Necaxa (W)1.46
Club America (W)3.46
1X2
7% 9% 85%
Necaxa (W) Draw Club America (W)
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
Necaxa (W) 0-1-9 (W-D-L)
LDLLLLLLLL
Club America (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
WDWWWLWWWW
Head-to-head
Necaxa (W) 0–1–5 Club America (W) (6 last)
  • Club America (W)6-0Necaxa (W)
  • Necaxa (W)0-4Club America (W)
  • Necaxa (W)0-5Club America (W)
  • Club America (W)4-0Necaxa (W)
  • Necaxa (W)1-1Club America (W)
  • Club America (W)5-0Necaxa (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Necaxa (W) 1372 · Club America (W) 1639
Necaxa (W)DrawClub America (W)
Our model12%14%75%
Market3%5%93%
Estimated total (ours) 4.93 goals · Bet365 line 5.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 86%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club America (W) (rating 1372 vs 1639).
  • H2H favours Club America (W): 5-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Necaxa (W)Club America (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 3.53.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 1.81.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/30/70%60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 2.24.5 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.42.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Necaxa (W) 015 Club America (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/01/26
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Club America (W)6-0
HT 3-0
Necaxa (W)
10/08/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Necaxa (W)0-4
HT 0-2
Club America (W)
16/01/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Necaxa (W)0-5
HT 0-3
Club America (W)
12/08/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Club America (W)4-0
HT 1-0
Necaxa (W)
12/01/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Necaxa (W)1-1
HT 0-0
Club America (W)
12/10/23
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Club America (W)5-0
HT 3-0
Necaxa (W)

Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club America (W) 3300 1819
2 Chivas Guadalajara (W) 3300 1039
3 Unam Pumas (W) 4202 1096
4 Pachuca (W) 3111 434
5 Tijuana (W) 3102 753
6 Atletico San Luis (W) 3102 483
7 Atlas (W) 3021 352
8 Necaxa (W) 3003 280
9 Puebla (W) 3003 2170

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNecaxa (W)Club America (W)
Puebla (W) 2-3 L 5-1 W
Juarez FC (W) 0-6 L 3-2 W
Toluca (W) 1-5 L 4-3 W
Cruz Azul (W) 0-3 L 10-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 4 L 4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Club America (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Necaxa (W)

LDLLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Tijuana (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-5 1-5 24 L
09/08 Unam Pumas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 1-2 42 L
03/08 Atlante (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-1 L
25/04 Puebla (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-2 2-3 35 L
06/04 Tijuana (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 1-6 37 L
02/04 Juarez FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-3 0-6 16 L
28/03 Atlas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-3 2-3 24 L
21/03 Toluca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 1-5 15 L
15/03 Atletico San Luis (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 1-1 25 D
12/03 Cruz Azul (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-2 0-3 20 L

Club America (W)

WDWWWLWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Puebla (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-1 5-1 156 W
09/08 Cruz Azul (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
4-0 10-0 41 W
04/08 Santos Laguna (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-0 3-0 125 W
17/05 Monterrey (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 3-0 41 W
15/05 Monterrey (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-1 54 L
10/05 Toluca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-3 4-3 71 W
08/05 Toluca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
4-1 7-1 71 W
02/05 Juarez FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 3-2 65 W
30/04 Juarez FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 1-1 62 D
25/04 Pachuca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 3-2 70 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Necaxa (W) vs Club America (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Club America (W) win (85%). Probabilities: Necaxa (W) 7%, draw 9%, Club America (W) 85%.

How many goals are expected in Necaxa (W) vs Club America (W)?

The model expects 4.93 goals (Necaxa (W) 1.46 · Club America (W) 3.46), with a 53% chance of under 5.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Necaxa (W) vs Club America (W)?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.