Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 12/09, 03:00

Prediction: Cruz Azul (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)

Team pages: Cruz Azul (W) · Unam Pumas (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.35Total
Cruz Azul (W)1.53
Unam Pumas (W)1.82
1X2
31% 25% 43%
Cruz Azul (W) Draw Unam Pumas (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Cruz Azul (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WDDLWLWLLW
Unam Pumas (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLDDLWLWWL
Head-to-head
Cruz Azul (W) 1–1–4 Unam Pumas (W) (6 last)
  • Cruz Azul (W)1-1Unam Pumas (W)
  • Unam Pumas (W)3-1Cruz Azul (W)
  • Unam Pumas (W)2-0Cruz Azul (W)
  • Cruz Azul (W)4-5Unam Pumas (W)
  • Unam Pumas (W)4-2Cruz Azul (W)
  • Cruz Azul (W)2-1Unam Pumas (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cruz Azul (W) 1497 · Unam Pumas (W) 1501
Cruz Azul (W)DrawUnam Pumas (W)
Our model32%25%44%
Market31%26%43%
Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Unam Pumas (W): 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Cruz Azul (W)Unam Pumas (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 2.21.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.81.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 51.9 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 02.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cruz Azul (W) 114 Unam Pumas (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Cruz Azul (W)1-1
HT 0-1
Unam Pumas (W)
05/08/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Unam Pumas (W)3-1
HT 1-0
Cruz Azul (W)
11/02/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Unam Pumas (W)2-0
HT 1-0
Cruz Azul (W)
19/10/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Cruz Azul (W)4-5
HT 2-3
Unam Pumas (W)
16/03/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Unam Pumas (W)4-2
HT 3-1
Cruz Azul (W)
29/07/23
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Cruz Azul (W)2-1
HT 2-1
Unam Pumas (W)

Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club America (W) 6600 30318
2 Chivas Guadalajara (W) 7403 171112
3 Atletico San Luis (W) 6402 171112
4 Unam Pumas (W) 7304 15149
5 Atlas (W) 7223 7158
6 Pachuca (W) 6213 897
7 Tijuana (W) 6204 11116
8 Puebla (W) 6105 10283
9 Necaxa (W) 7007 3220

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCruz Azul (W)Unam Pumas (W)
Queretaro (W) 2-0 W 5-0 W
Club America (W) 0-10 L 1-2 L
Monterrey (W) 0-4 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Unam Pumas (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cruz Azul (W)

WDDLWLWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/09 Queretaro (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 2-0 62 W
30/08 Juarez FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-1 34 L
23/08 Tigres UANL (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-3 43 L
15/08 Atlante (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 3-1 34 W
09/08 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-4 0-10 61 L
01/08 Atlas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 3-1 53 W
03/05 Monterrey (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-4 43 L
30/04 Monterrey (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 1-1 83 D
25/04 Unam Pumas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 1-1 42 D
05/04 Toluca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-0 4-0 74 W

Unam Pumas (W)

WLDDLWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 1-2 23 L
31/08 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-0 2-0 15 W
22/08 Queretaro (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
5-0 5-0 21 W
16/08 Pachuca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 1-3 23 L
09/08 Necaxa (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 2-1 42 W
02/08 Leon (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-3 2-5 103 L
25/04 Cruz Azul (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 1-1 62 D
05/04 Puebla (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 2-2 62 D
02/04 Monterrey (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-2 0-3 42 L
28/03 Leon (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 2-1 13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cruz Azul (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Unam Pumas (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Cruz Azul (W) 31%, draw 25%, Unam Pumas (W) 43%.

How many goals are expected in Cruz Azul (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Cruz Azul (W) 1.53 · Unam Pumas (W) 1.82), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cruz Azul (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.