Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 13/09, 03:10

Prediction: Juarez FC (W) vs Necaxa (W)

Team pages: Juarez FC (W) · Necaxa (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.85Total
Juarez FC (W)2.93
Necaxa (W)0.93
1X2
85% 10% 6%
Juarez FC (W) Draw Necaxa (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Juarez FC (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWDLWLLWWW
Necaxa (W) 0-0-10 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLLLLL
Head-to-head
Juarez FC (W) 6–0 Necaxa (W) (6 last)
  • Necaxa (W)0-6Juarez FC (W)
  • Juarez FC (W)2-1Necaxa (W)
  • Juarez FC (W)1-0Necaxa (W)
  • Necaxa (W)0-2Juarez FC (W)
  • Necaxa (W)1-4Juarez FC (W)
  • Juarez FC (W)6-0Necaxa (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juarez FC (W) 1548 · Necaxa (W) 1362
Juarez FC (W)DrawNecaxa (W)
Our model77%14%8%
Market90%6%3%
Estimated total (ours) 3.85 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juarez FC (W) (rating 1548 vs 1362).
  • H2H favours Juarez FC (W): 6-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Juarez FC (W)Necaxa (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.10.8 / 3.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.30.3 / 2.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/80/0%0/20/80%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.61 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.24.6 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Juarez FC (W) 600 Necaxa (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/04/26
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Necaxa (W)0-6
HT 0-3
Juarez FC (W)
11/10/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Juarez FC (W)2-1
HT 2-1
Necaxa (W)
13/01/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Juarez FC (W)1-0
HT 0-0
Necaxa (W)
17/09/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Necaxa (W)0-2
HT 0-0
Juarez FC (W)
26/03/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Necaxa (W)1-4
HT 1-2
Juarez FC (W)
11/09/23
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Juarez FC (W)6-0
HT 4-0
Necaxa (W)

Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club America (W) 6600 30318
2 Chivas Guadalajara (W) 6402 15812
3 Atletico San Luis (W) 6402 171112
4 Unam Pumas (W) 7304 15149
5 Atlas (W) 7223 7158
6 Pachuca (W) 6213 897
7 Tijuana (W) 6204 11116
8 Puebla (W) 6105 10283
9 Necaxa (W) 6006 3210

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJuarez FC (W)Necaxa (W)
Atlante (W) 1-0 W 0-1 L
Club America (W) 2-3 L 0-7 L
Atlas (W) 2-1 W 2-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Juarez FC (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juarez FC (W)

DWDLWLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/09 Atlante (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 1-0 81 W
30/08 Cruz Azul (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 1-0 34 W
23/08 Santos Laguna (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-1 3-2 84 W
16/08 Tigres UANL (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-1 12 L
11/08 Toluca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-2 35 L
02/08 Pachuca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 1-0 43 W
02/05 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 2-3 35 L
30/04 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 1-1 32 D
25/04 Atlas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 2-1 23 W
21/04 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 1-1 16 D

Necaxa (W)

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Atletico San Luis (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-2 25 L
30/08 Puebla (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-4 1-4 76 L
24/08 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-5 0-7 L
16/08 Tijuana (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-5 1-5 24 L
09/08 Unam Pumas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 1-2 42 L
03/08 Atlante (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-1 L
25/04 Puebla (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-2 2-3 35 L
06/04 Tijuana (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 1-6 37 L
02/04 Juarez FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-3 0-6 16 L
28/03 Atlas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-3 2-3 24 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juarez FC (W) vs Necaxa (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Juarez FC (W) win (85%). Probabilities: Juarez FC (W) 85%, draw 10%, Necaxa (W) 6%.

How many goals are expected in Juarez FC (W) vs Necaxa (W)?

The model expects 3.85 goals (Juarez FC (W) 2.93 · Necaxa (W) 0.93), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Juarez FC (W) vs Necaxa (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.