Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 13/09, 01:07

Prediction: Chivas Guadalajara (W) vs Monterrey (W)

Team pages: Chivas Guadalajara (W) · Monterrey (W)

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Chivas Guadalajara (W)1.43
Monterrey (W)1.56
1X2
34% 26% 40%
Chivas Guadalajara (W) Draw Monterrey (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Chivas Guadalajara (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DDWLWWWLLW
Monterrey (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WWWLWWWLWW
Head-to-head
Chivas Guadalajara (W) 2–2–2 Monterrey (W) (6 last)
  • Monterrey (W)0-0Chivas Guadalajara (W)
  • Chivas Guadalajara (W)1-1Monterrey (W)
  • Chivas Guadalajara (W)0-1Monterrey (W)
  • Monterrey (W)3-2Chivas Guadalajara (W)
  • Monterrey (W)0-1Chivas Guadalajara (W)
  • Chivas Guadalajara (W)1-0Monterrey (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chivas Guadalajara (W) 1529 · Monterrey (W) 1565
Chivas Guadalajara (W)DrawMonterrey (W)
Our model34%26%40%
Market34%26%40%
Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Chivas Guadalajara (W)Monterrey (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.32.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.41.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.42.2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.5 / 0.22.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chivas Guadalajara (W) 222 Monterrey (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/03/26
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Monterrey (W)0-0
HT 0-0
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
27/08/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Chivas Guadalajara (W)1-1
HT 0-1
Monterrey (W)
27/01/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Chivas Guadalajara (W)0-1
HT 0-0
Monterrey (W)
21/10/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Monterrey (W)3-2
HT 1-2
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
05/05/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Monterrey (W)0-1
HT 0-1
Chivas Guadalajara (W)
18/08/23
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Chivas Guadalajara (W)1-0
HT 1-0
Monterrey (W)

Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club America (W) 6600 30318
2 Chivas Guadalajara (W) 6402 15812
3 Atletico San Luis (W) 6402 171112
4 Unam Pumas (W) 7304 15149
5 Atlas (W) 7223 7158
6 Pachuca (W) 6213 897
7 Tijuana (W) 6204 11116
8 Puebla (W) 6105 10283
9 Necaxa (W) 6006 3210

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentChivas Guadalajara (W)Monterrey (W)
Pachuca (W) 1-3 L 4-1 W
Queretaro (W) 3-1 W 4-0 W
Toluca (W) 1-1 D 5-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Monterrey (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chivas Guadalajara (W)

DDWLWWWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Atlas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-0 4-0 12 W
31/08 Unam Pumas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-2 0-2 85 L
24/08 Pachuca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 1-3 35 L
17/08 Atletico San Luis (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-1 3-1 102 W
09/08 Puebla (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-0 4-1 22 W
03/08 Queretaro (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 3-1 74 W
04/05 Pachuca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-2 21 L
01/05 Pachuca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 2-1 20 W
25/04 Toluca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 1-1 80 D
21/04 Juarez FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 1-1 16 D

Monterrey (W)

WWWLWWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Toluca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-0 5-1 34 W
30/08 Queretaro (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-0 4-0 34 W
22/08 Leon (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 2-3 63 L
18/08 Santos Laguna (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-0 4-1 73 W
09/08 Atlante (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 3-1 61 W
02/08 Tijuana (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 2-1 51 W
17/05 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-3 51 L
15/05 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 1-0 34 W
11/05 Pachuca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 4-1 52 W
03/05 Cruz Azul (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 4-0 43 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chivas Guadalajara (W) vs Monterrey (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Monterrey (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Chivas Guadalajara (W) 34%, draw 26%, Monterrey (W) 40%.

How many goals are expected in Chivas Guadalajara (W) vs Monterrey (W)?

The model expects 3 goals (Chivas Guadalajara (W) 1.43 · Monterrey (W) 1.56), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Chivas Guadalajara (W) vs Monterrey (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.