Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 14/09, 01:00
Prediction: Club America (W) vs Tigres UANL (W)
Team pages: Club America (W) · Tigres UANL (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
Club America (W)2.18
Tigres UANL (W)1.24
1X2
Club America (W)
Draw
Tigres UANL (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Club America (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Tigres UANL (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club America (W)
2–2–2
Tigres UANL (W)
(6 last)
- Club America (W)1-1Tigres UANL (W)
- Club America (W)2-1Tigres UANL (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)0-1Club America (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)1-0Club America (W)
- Club America (W)3-3Tigres UANL (W)
- Club America (W)1-2Tigres UANL (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club America (W) 1628 · Tigres UANL (W) 1572
| Club America (W) | Draw | Tigres UANL (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 22% | 20% |
| Market | 57% | 23% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club America (W) (rating 1628 vs 1572).
- High corners: 14.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club America (W) | Tigres UANL (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.8 / 0.8 | 2.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.2 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.4 / 8.8 | 2.7 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club America (W) 2–2–2 Tigres UANL (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/26 Mexico Champions of Champions Women | Club America (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 28/03/26 Women’s Friendly | Club America (W) | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 26/03/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Club America (W) |
| 24/11/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Club America (W) |
| 21/11/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Club America (W) | 3-3 HT 3-0 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 11/10/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Club America (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Tigres UANL (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 18 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 12 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 12 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 9 |
| 5 | Atlas (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 8 |
| 6 | Pachuca (W) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club America (W) | Tigres UANL (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Puebla (W) | 5-1 W | 8-0 W |
| Cruz Azul (W) | 10-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Santos Laguna (W) | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Monterrey (W) | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Toluca (W) | 4-3 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Club America (W) (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club America (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-1 | 3-1 | 16 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
5-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-1 | 5-1 | 15 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
4-0 | 10-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 04/08 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 27/07 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Champions of Champions Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-3 | 4-3 | 7 | 1 | W |
Tigres UANL (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 11/08 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
6-0 | 8-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 27/07 | Club America (W) Mexico Champions of Champions Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 04/05 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club America (W) vs Tigres UANL (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club America (W) win (58%). Probabilities: Club America (W) 58%, draw 22%, Tigres UANL (W) 20%.
How many goals are expected in Club America (W) vs Tigres UANL (W)?
The model expects 3.42 goals (Club America (W) 2.18 · Tigres UANL (W) 1.24), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Club America (W) vs Tigres UANL (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.