Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 15/09, 03:00

Prediction: Pachuca (W) vs Leon (W)

Team pages: Pachuca (W) · Leon (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.11Total
Pachuca (W)2.76
Leon (W)1.36
1X2
66% 19% 15%
Pachuca (W) Draw Leon (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Pachuca (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
WLLWLLWWLL
Leon (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LDLLWLLWLW
Head-to-head
Pachuca (W) 6–0 Leon (W) (6 last)
  • Pachuca (W)5-4Leon (W)
  • Leon (W)2-5Pachuca (W)
  • Leon (W)0-2Pachuca (W)
  • Pachuca (W)1-0Leon (W)
  • Pachuca (W)1-0Leon (W)
  • Leon (W)1-4Pachuca (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pachuca (W) 1507 · Leon (W) 1470
Pachuca (W)DrawLeon (W)
Our model66%18%16%
Market65%20%15%
Estimated total (ours) 4.11 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Pachuca (W): 6-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Pachuca (W)Leon (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 2.12.3 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.91.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.43.2 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.13.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pachuca (W) 600 Leon (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/04/26
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Pachuca (W)5-4
HT 3-1
Leon (W)
11/10/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Leon (W)2-5
HT 2-4
Pachuca (W)
08/02/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Leon (W)0-2
HT 0-1
Pachuca (W)
18/08/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Pachuca (W)1-0
HT 1-0
Leon (W)
13/05/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Pachuca (W)1-0
HT 0-0
Leon (W)
10/05/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Leon (W)1-4
HT 0-2
Pachuca (W)

Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club America (W) 6600 30318
2 Chivas Guadalajara (W) 7403 171112
3 Atletico San Luis (W) 6402 171112
4 Unam Pumas (W) 7304 15149
5 Atlas (W) 7223 7158
6 Pachuca (W) 6213 897
7 Tijuana (W) 6204 11116
8 Puebla (W) 6105 10283
9 Necaxa (W) 7007 3220

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPachuca (W)Leon (W)
Tigres UANL (W) 0-2 L 1-2 L
Unam Pumas (W) 3-1 W 5-2 W
Monterrey (W) 1-4 L 3-2 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Leon (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pachuca (W)

WLLWLLWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Tijuana (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-3 1-3 75 L
30/08 Tigres UANL (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-2 45 L
24/08 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 3-1 55 W
16/08 Unam Pumas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 3-1 23 W
02/08 Juarez FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-1 23 L
11/05 Monterrey (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 1-4 32 L
04/05 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 2-0 71 W
01/05 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 1-2 50 L
25/04 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 2-3 20 L
06/04 Leon (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-1 5-4 73 W

Leon (W)

LDLLWLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/09 Puebla (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-1 5-2 93 W
29/08 Toluca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-1 66 L
22/08 Monterrey (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 3-2 43 W
18/08 Queretaro (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-1 55 L
11/08 Tigres UANL (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 1-2 55 L
02/08 Unam Pumas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-2 5-2 43 W
25/04 Atletico San Luis (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-2 1-2 64 L
06/04 Pachuca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-3 4-5 53 L
01/04 Toluca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-0 3-3 74 D
28/03 Unam Pumas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 1-2 63 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pachuca (W) vs Leon (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pachuca (W) win (66%). Probabilities: Pachuca (W) 66%, draw 19%, Leon (W) 15%.

How many goals are expected in Pachuca (W) vs Leon (W)?

The model expects 4.11 goals (Pachuca (W) 2.76 · Leon (W) 1.36), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Pachuca (W) vs Leon (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.