Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 24/10, 05:10

Prediction: Tijuana (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)

Team pages: Tijuana (W) · Unam Pumas (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Tijuana (W)1.27
Unam Pumas (W)1.89
1X2
24% 25% 50%
Tijuana (W) Draw Unam Pumas (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Tijuana (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWLLWLLLWD
Unam Pumas (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WLWWLLWDLW
Head-to-head
Tijuana (W) 3–1–2 Unam Pumas (W) (6 last)
  • Tijuana (W)2-1Unam Pumas (W)
  • Unam Pumas (W)1-0Tijuana (W)
  • Unam Pumas (W)1-0Tijuana (W)
  • Tijuana (W)5-1Unam Pumas (W)
  • Unam Pumas (W)3-3Tijuana (W)
  • Tijuana (W)3-2Unam Pumas (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tijuana (W) 1469 · Unam Pumas (W) 1505
Tijuana (W)DrawUnam Pumas (W)
Our model25%25%51%
Market24%26%50%
Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Tijuana (W): 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Tijuana (W)Unam Pumas (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 2.31.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 1.51.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/10/60%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.42.6 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.22.9 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tijuana (W) 3–1–2 Unam Pumas (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/03/26
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Tijuana (W)2-1
HT 1-1
Unam Pumas (W)
26/08/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Unam Pumas (W)1-0
HT 1-0
Tijuana (W)
17/03/25
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Unam Pumas (W)1-0
HT 1-0
Tijuana (W)
16/09/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Tijuana (W)5-1
HT 3-1
Unam Pumas (W)
02/03/24
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Unam Pumas (W)3-3
HT 2-0
Tijuana (W)
17/08/23
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Tijuana (W)3-2
HT 1-0
Unam Pumas (W)

Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club America (W) 11911 471228
2 Chivas Guadalajara (W) 11803 281124
3 Atletico San Luis (W) 11614 241819
4 Unam Pumas (W) 11515 191716
5 Atlas (W) 10334 101812
6 Pachuca (W) 11317 151710
7 Tijuana (W) 11317 142510
8 Puebla (W) 11119 14404
9 Necaxa (W) 110011 3450

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTijuana (W)Unam Pumas (W)
Puebla (W) 1-1 D 2-0 W
Atlante (W) 1-0 W 0-0 D
Chivas Guadalajara (W) 0-2 L 2-0 W
Pachuca (W) 3-1 W 1-3 L
Club America (W) 1-3 L 1-2 L
Atlas (W) 0-2 L 1-0 W
Necaxa (W) 5-1 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 3 L 4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Unam Pumas (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tijuana (W)

LWLLWLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Puebla (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 1-1 39 D
04/10 Atlante (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 1-0 53 W
27/09 Juarez FC (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-3 1-5 13 L
20/09 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-2 36 L
15/09 Toluca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-3 0-6 33 L
06/09 Pachuca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
3-1 3-1 15 W
30/08 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-3 1-3 14 L
25/08 Atlas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 0-2 73 L
16/08 Necaxa (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
5-1 5-1 14 W
10/08 Atletico San Luis (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-2 1-2 97 L

Unam Pumas (W)

WLWWLLWDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Atlas (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 1-0 137 W
03/10 Tigres UANL (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-2 1-3 35 L
28/09 Atlante (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-0 0-0 72 D
20/09 Puebla (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-0 2-0 82 W
12/09 Cruz Azul (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 2-3 63 L
05/09 Club America (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 1-2 23 L
31/08 Chivas Guadalajara (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
2-0 2-0 15 W
22/08 Queretaro (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
5-0 5-0 21 W
16/08 Pachuca (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
0-1 1-3 23 L
09/08 Necaxa (W)
Mexico Liga MX Femenil
1-1 2-1 42 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tijuana (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Unam Pumas (W) win (50%). Probabilities: Tijuana (W) 24%, draw 25%, Unam Pumas (W) 50%.

How many goals are expected in Tijuana (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Tijuana (W) 1.27 · Unam Pumas (W) 1.89), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Tijuana (W) vs Unam Pumas (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.