Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 25/10, 01:00
Prediction: Pachuca (W) vs Necaxa (W)
Team pages: Pachuca (W) · Necaxa (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.85Total
Pachuca (W)3.43
Necaxa (W)1.43
1X2
Pachuca (W)
Draw
Necaxa (W)
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Pachuca (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Necaxa (W)
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pachuca (W)
6–0
Necaxa (W)
(6 last)
- Necaxa (W)0-6Pachuca (W)
- Pachuca (W)5-0Necaxa (W)
- Pachuca (W)1-0Necaxa (W)
- Necaxa (W)0-5Pachuca (W)
- Necaxa (W)0-4Pachuca (W)
- Pachuca (W)3-1Necaxa (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pachuca (W) 1476 · Necaxa (W) 1351
| Pachuca (W) | Draw | Necaxa (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 12% |
| Market | 95% | 4% | 1% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.85 goals · Bet365 line 5.25 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 86%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pachuca (W) (rating 1476 vs 1351).
- H2H favours Pachuca (W): 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pachuca (W) | Necaxa (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 0.3 / 4.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.2 / 2.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 0/20/80% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.1 | 0.7 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.4 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pachuca (W) 6–0–0 Necaxa (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Necaxa (W) | 0-6 HT 0-4 | Pachuca (W) |
| 15/09/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 5-0 HT 4-0 | Necaxa (W) |
| 04/03/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Necaxa (W) |
| 05/07/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Necaxa (W) | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Pachuca (W) |
| 23/01/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Necaxa (W) | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Pachuca (W) |
| 20/10/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Pachuca (W) | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Necaxa (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 47 | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 19 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 16 |
| 5 | Atlas (W) | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 12 |
| 6 | Pachuca (W) | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 17 | 10 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 10 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 4 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 45 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pachuca (W) | Necaxa (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Club America (W) | 1-2 L | 0-7 L |
| Toluca (W) | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Atletico San Luis (W) | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Tijuana (W) | 1-3 L | 1-5 L |
| Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 3-1 W | 0-7 L |
| Unam Pumas (W) | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Juarez FC (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 5 L | 0 W 0 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Pachuca (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pachuca (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 05/10 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 4-1 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 21/09 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 15/09 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
Necaxa (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 0-7 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 04/10 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 29/09 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-10 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-4 | 1-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 24/08 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-5 | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-5 | 1-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pachuca (W) vs Necaxa (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pachuca (W) win (86%). Probabilities: Pachuca (W) 86%, draw 8%, Necaxa (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Pachuca (W) vs Necaxa (W)?
The model expects 4.85 goals (Pachuca (W) 3.43 · Necaxa (W) 1.43), with a 56% chance of under 5.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Pachuca (W) vs Necaxa (W)?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.