Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 25/10, 01:00
Prediction: Atletico San Luis (W) vs Club America (W)
Team pages: Atletico San Luis (W) · Club America (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.05Total
Atletico San Luis (W)1.02
Club America (W)3.02
1X2
Atletico San Luis (W)
Draw
Club America (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-3 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico San Luis (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Club America (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico San Luis (W)
0–1–5
Club America (W)
(6 last)
- Atletico San Luis (W)0-2Club America (W)
- Club America (W)2-2Atletico San Luis (W)
- Club America (W)4-0Atletico San Luis (W)
- Atletico San Luis (W)0-6Club America (W)
- Club America (W)2-1Atletico San Luis (W)
- Atletico San Luis (W)1-4Club America (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico San Luis (W) 1523 · Club America (W) 1606
| Atletico San Luis (W) | Draw | Club America (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| Market | 8% | 14% | 78% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club America (W) (rating 1523 vs 1606).
- H2H favours Club America (W): 5-1-0.
- High corners: 15.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico San Luis (W) | Club America (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.4 | 4.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.8 / 0.5 | 2.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/0/20% | 80/20/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6 | 5.2 / 9.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.4 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico San Luis (W) 0–1–5 Club America (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atletico San Luis (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Club America (W) |
| 07/09/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Club America (W) | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Atletico San Luis (W) |
| 01/03/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Club America (W) | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Atletico San Luis (W) |
| 21/10/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atletico San Luis (W) | 0-6 HT 0-4 | Club America (W) |
| 24/03/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Club America (W) | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Atletico San Luis (W) |
| 13/09/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atletico San Luis (W) | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Club America (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 47 | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 19 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 16 |
| 5 | Atlas (W) | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 12 |
| 6 | Pachuca (W) | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 17 | 10 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 25 | 10 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 4 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 45 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico San Luis (W) | Club America (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Tigres UANL (W) | 1-1 D | 5-2 W |
| Pachuca (W) | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Necaxa (W) | 2-0 W | 7-0 W |
| Atlas (W) | 6-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Puebla (W) | 5-2 W | 5-1 W |
| Tijuana (W) | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Club America (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico San Luis (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 04/10 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 28/09 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 21/09 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 14/09 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 2-3 | 13 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
6-0 | 6-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 5-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 17/08 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/08 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
Club America (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 03/10 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 29/09 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Atlas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 14/09 | Tigres UANL (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-0 | 5-2 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-1 | 3-1 | 16 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Necaxa (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
5-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
3-1 | 5-1 | 15 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
4-0 | 10-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico San Luis (W) vs Club America (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Club America (W) win (77%). Probabilities: Atletico San Luis (W) 8%, draw 14%, Club America (W) 77%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico San Luis (W) vs Club America (W)?
The model expects 4.05 goals (Atletico San Luis (W) 1.02 · Club America (W) 3.02), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico San Luis (W) vs Club America (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.