Football · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · 31/10, 02:06
Prediction: Atlas (W) vs Tigres UANL (W)
Team pages: Atlas (W) · Tigres UANL (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.4Total
Atlas (W)0.7
Tigres UANL (W)2.7
1X2
Atlas (W)
Draw
Tigres UANL (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Atlas (W)
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Tigres UANL (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atlas (W)
1–5
Tigres UANL (W)
(6 last)
- Tigres UANL (W)3-1Atlas (W)
- Atlas (W)0-3Tigres UANL (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)1-2Atlas (W)
- Atlas (W)1-3Tigres UANL (W)
- Atlas (W)0-1Tigres UANL (W)
- Tigres UANL (W)2-0Atlas (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atlas (W) 1491 · Tigres UANL (W) 1590
| Atlas (W) | Draw | Tigres UANL (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 7% | 15% | 79% |
| Market | 6% | 12% | 82% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigres UANL (W) (rating 1491 vs 1590).
- H2H favours Tigres UANL (W): 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atlas (W) | Tigres UANL (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 2.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.9 | 3.6 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlas (W) 1–0–5 Tigres UANL (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Atlas (W) |
| 09/08/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atlas (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 17/01/25 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Atlas (W) |
| 08/07/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atlas (W) | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 20/04/24 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Atlas (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Tigres UANL (W) |
| 26/08/23 Mexico Liga MX Femenil | Tigres UANL (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Atlas (W) |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX Femenil · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America (W) | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 54 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis (W) | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 19 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas (W) | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 17 |
| 5 | Atlas (W) | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 20 | 16 |
| 6 | Pachuca (W) | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 17 | 13 |
| 7 | Tijuana (W) | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 11 |
| 8 | Puebla (W) | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 42 | 4 |
| 9 | Necaxa (W) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 50 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atlas (W) | Tigres UANL (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Unam Pumas (W) | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Queretaro (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Club America (W) | 2-2 D | 2-5 L |
| Atletico San Luis (W) | 1-6 L | 1-1 D |
| Toluca (W) | 1-1 D | 7-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Tigres UANL (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atlas (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Puebla (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/10 | Leon (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 18/10 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 26/09 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Atlante (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Chivas Guadalajara (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 31/08 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-6 | 1-6 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/08 | Tijuana (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18/08 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
Tigres UANL (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Monterrey (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 8 | D |
| 19/10 | Queretaro (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Unam Pumas (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 28/09 | Atletico San Luis (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 22/09 | Toluca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
5-1 | 7-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | Club America (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Santos Laguna (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Pachuca (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Cruz Azul (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Juarez FC (W) Mexico Liga MX Femenil |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atlas (W) vs Tigres UANL (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tigres UANL (W) win (80%). Probabilities: Atlas (W) 6%, draw 13%, Tigres UANL (W) 80%.
How many goals are expected in Atlas (W) vs Tigres UANL (W)?
The model expects 3.4 goals (Atlas (W) 0.7 · Tigres UANL (W) 2.7), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Atlas (W) vs Tigres UANL (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.